Southwest Quietly Blows Up Its Succession Plan


In what is probably a dramatic understatement, Southwest has faced a great deal of change over the last couple of years. I don’t need to rehash all the gory details, but this is an airline that has felt like it has been in transition since Gary Kelly stepped down as CEO in 2022 and Bob Jordan took over. Bob has always felt like a caretaker meant to transition from the old guard to the new, but now, the airline has quietly blown up any sense that there is an actual transition plan. I find the timing of all this quite odd.

This cryptic statement full of nonsensical corporate speak was published on Southwest’s SWAmedia website late last week, but it wasn’t widely distributed. In it, Southwest said three things would change in the airline’s upper ranks:

  • Andrew Watterson, Chief Operating Officer who has also been in charge of the airline’s commercial functions again since 2024, will now just be in charge of the operation as COO
  • Justin Jones, EVP Operations who was reporting to Andrew, is now being moved to the other side of the house as Chief Commercial Officer and will report directly to Bob
  • Tony Roach, Chief Customer and Brand Officer who was reporting to Andrew, is now being given the HR (“People”) department in addition to his current roles and will report directly to Bob

The stated rationale for these changes makes no sense at all. This is the top-line quote from Bob:

These changes position us to move forward with greater clarity, stronger execution, and deeper connection across our Company

Except that the changes muddle clarity and create less connection across the company.

See, before this, Andrew was in charge of the the operational and commercial groups. They made a point of connecting the dots very closely between the two sides after having so many operational failures leading up to the biggest failure of them all, Winter Storm Elliott.

Just before the storm hit, the airline had turned over control of the operation to Andrew when Mike Van de Ven was pushed out, and the storm was quite a goodbye gift from Mike. It showed the vulnerability of an operation that hadn’t kept up with the times or with Southwest’s growth. There was a lot of work to do.

One of the early changes before the entire commercial team moved back over to Andrew was uniting the network team and the operation under former network boss Adam Decaire. He was named SVP Network Planning and Network Operation Control, cementing the link between the schedule and the operation to make things run more smoothly. And you know what? It worked. Southwest’s operation has been dramatically improving since that time.

The airline’s revenue performance has skyrocketed as well. In its presentation at the JP Morgan Industrials conference in March, Southwest said its revenue initiatives had been so successful that its 2026 forecast was for an increase in contribution of those initiatives from $2.6 billion to $4.3 billion. Let’s not forget that these were massive initiatives ranging from basic economy to assigned seating, extra legroom, and bag fees. All were done on-time and have overdelivered.

On top of all this, Southwest was one of the clear winners in Q1 2026, as I wrote less than a month ago. And its Q2 guidance says unit revenue performance will be up 16.5 to 18.5 percent vs the year before. With things going well on all fronts, the airline’s shares started moving up in December 2025 for the first time in three years, and the share price is now about 20 percent above where it was at this time last year. It would be higher — and in fact, it was higher — if not for the Iran War-induced high fuel prices.

The signs remained positive even as recently as a week ago when Bob spoke at the Bernstein conference. He said that demand trends continue to see no sign of weakening, and “I’m becoming increasingly bullish that we will be able to cover these fuel increases with revenue increases.” That means revenue performance is likely even better than guidance, if I’m reading the tea leaves right. It sounds like sunshine and rainbows.

But in recent weeks, Bob has been dismantling the organization that got Southwest to this point. Adam Decaire, the man who united operations and network to help produce these results, has quietly “retired” from the company. I’ve heard that he wasn’t the only one. Now we have a further dismantling of Andrew’s team and reduction of his responsibilities.

Before activist investor Elliott showed up, Andrew looked to be on track to succeed Bob as CEO. But then, the board turned over and things became murky. Southwest brought in CFO Tom Doxey who was largely seen as a potential successor as well. But in this announcement, it looks like neither will be getting that job.

This is not to say that Justin and Tony don’t deserve promotions, though it is a headscratcher to see Justin taken away from the operation he has done such a great job with and thrust into the commercial side.

The natural progression should be for someone to rise into the President role as Bob thinks about his future retirement. Andrew was already largely doing that role before, so if they had confidence in him, he would have been given the title while Tony and Justin continued to grow their responsibilities and titles and report to him. That didn’t happen. And if Tom was ready to step into that role, you’d think he would have been given more responsibility, but his name was nowhere to be found in this reorg anywhere. Instead, Bob has just given himself more power and broken up the group that had already been doing such solid work.

I say Bob gave himself more power, but it likely isn’t just coming from him. Choosing his successor isn’t directly his job anyway. That’s the board’s job. So it’s safe to assume they had a hand in this plan in some way. The question is… how much of a hand did they have?

Remember, the two most active airline management board members that came in from Elliott have already stepped down — Gregg Saretsky and David Cush — and it’s likely someone with airline experience that would be guiding Bob, if anyone is doing it. In fact, there are now only two board members who have airline management experience both added just before Elliott. That’s Bob Fornaro and the notoriously-difficult Rakesh Gangwal. If I had to pick between those two, my money would be on Rakesh trying to tinker and mess things up. But maybe I’m wrong. Maybe Bob is spearheading this on his own. Either way, it seems very short-sighted.

We now have an airline firing on all cylinders, finally done with its big transition work… but there isn’t stable management to guide what’s next. How strange.

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Brett Avatar

11 responses to “Southwest Quietly Blows Up Its Succession Plan”

  1. sugarconedaddy Avatar
    sugarconedaddy

    The future of Southwest (WN) exists in the arms of one of the US3 and the only logical merger partner for it will be Delta. It will solve Delta’s Texas problem, boosting it at AUS and giving it a major foothold in the Dallas Metroplex. WN will give Delta the ability to be a more relevant, yet still distant third in the Chicagoland market, bolster its BNA presence, and further its strength on the West Coast and the Desert Southwest. The amount of divestitures would be fairly minimal, principally LGA and LAX.

    Southwest as it exists today is neither here nor there. It is not the LCC it was founded as. It is too parochial to be a global carrier. It is stymied by its own existing business model and footprint.

    As to the rest of the industry, consolidation is coming. B6 will file for bankruptcy, and its assets sold off, with American and United likely getting the spoils (AA would get JFK, BOS assets, while UA would get MCO, FLL and realize its dream of a Florida footprint of significance).

    Down the road, AS would merge with AA, and the AS management team would take over.

    United will buy whatever is left of Frontier (planes, DEN operation).

    WN folds into Delta.

    1. SEAN Avatar
      SEAN

      I first thought you were Tim Dunn under another name based on the extreme Delta praise, but now I need to ask… are you high?

      1. Southside Emil Avatar
        Southside Emil

        He must be Tim’s step-brother :-)

        1. Pittsburgh Lou Avatar
          Pittsburgh Lou

          It can’t be Tim. The missive is way too short and there aren’t at least 100 praises to the Delta Gods.

    2. CraigTPA Avatar
      CraigTPA

      Yeah, I gotta second Sean’s question here. Even this administration is unlikely to allow a merger between any of the Big Domestic Four short of one of them winding up in Ch 11.

      That said, your AA/UA scenario for B6 is possible, although I still think it’s more likely that UA just acquires them outright and divests enough of JFK to satsify the feds, which might not be as much as you’d initially think – I don’t think AA really wants to build a full-on connecting hub at JFK after building out PHL, although they’d be open to PTP expansion.

      AS continues to signal they want to remain independent, while linked to AA via OneWorld and codeshares, and I don’t see that changing.

      As for Frontier, with Spirit gone I think they might actually have a chance, as average fares come up somewhat and if the Iran war ends fairly soon. A lot of things, some of them beyond their control, would have to go right, but it’s more plausible now.

  2. SEAN Avatar
    SEAN

    I guess Justin was told “different cities, different jobs & none of them show you can handle any real responsibility”

    My first thought was how much did Elliott have over these decisions, but it appears not as much as I believed.

  3. Brian W Avatar
    Brian W

    SWA will continue to transition to a full service carrier and leave its LCC roots behind. I expect it to roll out a domestic F product (2×2), continue to shift to a more hub focused network, and opening lounges in its focus cities. I can see it becoming more like Alaska with buying some 787s or A330s/350s and opening up more international routes to complement its large domestic network. Unless SWA is shopped an airline that declares bankruptcy (ie. JetBlue) by the FAA to avoid liquidation, I don’t see the govt allowing further consolidation with SWA. Some senior leader at Delta or United maybe a better fit for the CEO role with the time comes.

  4. Tony L Avatar
    Tony L

    If SWA was smart they wouldn’t bring anyone over from Delta. Ed’s “atmosphere” is to kill customer loyalty, price seats higher than the competitors, take away in-air product, let their planes become dirty again, reduce the friendliness of many of their newer FA’s, etc. I was a 7-year Diamond who finally wised up and is playing the free-agent route. Couldn’t be happier. Thanks Ed.

    1. Brian W Avatar
      Brian W

      Disagree with your comment. Delta had too many pax with status and its lounges were overwhelmed. With regard to pricing, every airline is trying to maximize revenue for the seat inventory they have to sell. Based on the record revenue all airlines are bringing in, people are willing to pay. If you fly economy, it is a comodity product so you are best to shop around for schedule and price.

  5. Bevvy Avatar
    Bevvy

    Cranky, serious question. Why would an airline tinker with success in one of the most competitive business in the world? It doesn’t make any sense.

  6. Jason Avatar
    Jason

    This is Just Bad Football When you have a winning Super Bowl team you keep them together and go for the three peat not blow up the team to rebuild.
    Adam had a completely different vision for a more disciplined Southwest. He was a driver behind ORD and MIA type of new growth. He even had a plan to shuffle aircraft retirement timelines to add back more capacity in FLL should Spirit cease operations.
    BOBs Vision is about LH international growth so like a typical WN once you push back against top Brass plans “They Suddenly Retire”.
    Everyone was Hoping BOB would announce his retirement and Andrew Watterson would take over WN in 2027….Turn around success has gone to Bob head in my opinion hopefully he doesn’t screw this up.
    I think Bob talk last week 2027 will see MAX7 2×2 Luv seating and BWI flights to Europe.
    There also talk of WN Buying Norse to spring board them into LH 787 transatlantic service as a short fill gap until they get their own metal and I plan together.

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