American’s Rapid Journey to Dominance in the 1980s (Part 1)


If you hated the 1980s, then I have bad news for you. This new SkyGo tool I’m using has me diving deep into the weeds during that decade. Today, I want to do an ’80s review of the powerhouse that is (ahem, was) American Airlines. This is actually a two-parter, and today I’m going to start with what American did to strengthen its legacy positions. Next time we’ll talk about how the airline made strategic moves to grow.

The ’80s were a time of chaos. Deregulation had just gone into effect in 1978, and so it was all settling out in the 1980s. The industry that existed in 1980 was far more fragmented and messy than what was there in 1990. But through it all, American was the rock star. Sure, United had its moments, USAir came into its own, and Delta got bigger, but there was no airline that moved quite the way American did to secure positions and carve out domains during that decade. Today, thanks to Claude helping me with the visualizations, I want to take a journey through the evolution of American’s main stations in that era.

The charts you’ll see in the next two days are all laid out the same. The lines show the number of departures by airline while the dots are sized depending upon the number of destinations served by that airline from that location. Now, let’s do this.

Long, long ago… American was primarily a northeast to southwest airline. Its historical positions in both New York and Los Angeles are well-known, so why don’t we start there? In both these legacy hubs, American made moves, but these aren’t places where American needed to have a laser-like focus. It just needed to find ways to maintain and bolster its positions.

New York City (JFK + LaGuardia) by Airline (1980-1990)

OAG schedule data via SkyGo

Yes, this leaves out the PeoplExpress phenomenon over at Newark, but it can be (and has been) argued that these aren’t exactly the same markets. American’s focus was on this side of the Hudson.

Going into 1980, American had an enviable position that was behind only Eastern, but as the 1980s went on and American’s gaze strayed, it fell off. The competition was from the old guard with Eastern and TWA along with the newly-christened USAir. Pan Am made big moves, especially after acquiring National. And of course there was little New York Air which added some capacity at the bottom. But by the middle of the decade, American was done playing nice.

The airline bulked up. Eastern — deep in the death throes by the back half of the decade — fell off dramatically. USAir also made a run at the end of the decade, and it kept that position until the slot swap with Delta for Washington/National flying many years later. By 1990, American had regained its position, but it was now second only to Pan Am, an airline which would fail soon after. Of course, Delta picked that up and ran with it, but in 1990, American was well-positioned in New York.

LAX by Airline (1980-1990)

OAG schedule data via SkyGo

We’ve talked about LAX a lot lately, but in 1980, American was small compared to United, Western, and PSA. (And yes, Golden Gate had a lot of departures but on tiny airplanes.) American was still very relevant and important because of its position in the high dollar markets like New York, but it let its overall position sag until the middle of the decade.

This market had a significant number of regional flights on independent airlines, but those airlines by the middle of the decade began to line up with bigger airlines to use their codes. And that is when we see a real realignment. For American, that meant bringing Wings West into the fold while Western (and then Delta) had SkyWest.

This was also a time for big mergers. Delta bought Western, USAir took out PSA, and American acquired AirCal. By the end of the decade, American was bigger and in the mix for the top spot. Delta was in the lead after that Western acquisition, but American and United were neck and neck for a close second place, much better than in 1980.

NYC and LAX were very busy markets that saw things shake out rapidly. American did not lose ground in the end, but these two markets were already falling behind American’s new and surging mid-continent hubs. Chicago/O’Hare and Dallas/Fort Worth were American’s #1 and #2 respectively. Let’s look at those.


Chicago/O’Hare by Airline (1980-1990)

OAG schedule data via SkyGo

Chicago may have been American’s biggest market, but United was still Chicago’s biggest airline in 1980. Many, many others were still relevant in the market, including Northwest, Republic, Delta, and TWA.

Early in the 1980s, United grew fast, and American tried to keep up but it fell behind. Meanwhile, everyone else abandoned the effort, realizing it was not worth it. Even a combined Northwest and Republic had less than even one of those airlines had on its own by the end of the decade. Delta dropped off, TWA went low, and only Continental made a brief rise when it was merged with PeopleExpress, New York Air, and Frontier in the late 1980s. That was short-lived.

By the end of the decade, American decided it needed to put the pedal to the metal. With a growing fleet of MD-80s, it had the right airplane to challenge United, and the airlines were in a virtual dead heat by the time 1990 rolled around.

Dallas/Fort Worth by Airline (1980-1990)

OAG schedule data via SkyGo

Today we think of DFW as American’s fortress, but it was far from that in 1980. In fact, American was smaller than Braniff, and Braniff was growing like a weed after deregulation. Of course, it was that chaotic growth that led to Braniff’s failure in 1982. It tried to come back to life as Braniff II, but it was never the same and just petered out, no longer a real threat.

Instead, when Braniff failed, it was Delta that saw the opportunity, and so it tried to match American’s torrid growth. Texas International had a similar-sized presence to Delta, but it quickly walked away, something that accelerated when it was merged into Continental in 1982.

By 1990, Delta had a real hub, but it was a far cry from what American had built. We all know in the end that Delta gave up, but at the time, American took this threat seriously and never hesitated.


These four markets made up four of American’s nine most important in 1990, but the other five were created almost out of thin air. I’ll talk about those next time.

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Brett Avatar

10 responses to “American’s Rapid Journey to Dominance in the 1980s (Part 1)”

  1. Dave at LEX Avatar
    Dave at LEX

    Nowhere does my color-blindness impact my life more than in trying to read Cranky charts/graphs.

    1. Outer Space Guy Avatar
      Outer Space Guy

      Even for someone who is NOT colorblind, those bubbles+labels are nearly impossible to read. Especially when there are many airlines and the colors are close. Please at the very least put each label on the start or end of the first or last datapoint itself. Please also use very distinctly different colors and shapes (make one row “filled bubbles” as filled squares, another row as filled in triangles, another row as striped bubbles, etc). Please give us as many different ways of easily understanding the story you are trying to tell.

      Thanks

      1. Joe Avatar
        Joe

        I’m not color blind but 10 colors in one graph is just too many (especially without any labels). It would have been better to just use a simple data table than these graphs. Also without scale for the circle sizes so we can at least see the range of destinations served. Nevertheless (outside of the largest and smallest) it is still be hard to decern the nuance of size gradients of the circles.

  2. Grichard Avatar
    Grichard

    I like today’s graphs, myself. Adding another data set with the symbol sizes is effective.

    Brett, I *strongly* recommend picking up a book called “The Visual Display of Quantitative Information” by Edward Tufte if you’re not already familiar with it.

    It’s the definitive book on how to make good graphs. It’s also entertaining. It’s not a reference book; it’s something to enjoy reading.

  3. Angry Bob Crandall Avatar
    Angry Bob Crandall

    Cranky,
    What about Hughes Airwest / Republic Airlines at LAX?

    1. Matt D Avatar
      Matt D

      Going from memory of course, but I don’t think that RW/RC were ever all that significant at LAX. I think the peak was around 15, maybe 20 flights a day, give or take. LAX was never more than a spoke for them. I think their strengths (so much as they had them) were PHX, LAS, and maybe SFO.

      Republic pruned off most of the intra-west routes fairly quickly. Compare their route maps in 1980 versus 1985 and you wouldn’t even think they were the same airline.

  4. Matt D Avatar
    Matt D

    Hey. I grew up in the 80’s. I wasn’t a fan of getting bullied in school almost every day (which finally stopped once I became six feet tall and learned to punch back).

    A lot of that decade was great. But some things are also best left in the past. Rap/Hip-Hop music took off in around 1987 or so. The quality of most popular music also nosedived around the same time. And “Puttin’ On The Ritz” by Taco is the single worst song ever. All copies of that song in existence should be burned. Far worse than anything ABBA or Whitney Houston ever put out.

    But this is a site and write-up about the airlines, so I’ll get back to that. So much you brought up. I became a fan of planes in Fall of 1983. I remember the one thing that sparked my interest: when my dad took me to an airshow they had at ONT. Got to walk around and through an AirCal 737-200, a Federal Express 727, and a USAF KC-10. Those are the three I remember them having on static display.

    I immediately took a love to watching and learning. I’d get my dad to take me to the airport, where I’d raid the ticket counters. And I’d pore over the timetables, learning the schedules, flight times, types, and of course history. Read every magazine and airplane book I could find. It was a passion that continued for many years…..

    Anyway, I’ve already droned on long enough. I told you I love it when you write the history essays. Those, I can really sink my tooth into.

    A couple of things and then I’ll stop. Otherwise, I could be writing all day and I have stuff to do.

    You know that New York Air was a part of Continental, right? They were probably the first airline-within-an-airline concept. So they should really be counted as one and the same.

    And speaking of American and CO, legend has it (I have not confirmed this) that the only…..only reason American ever bought AirCal was because Lorenzo and Crandall were locked into a d*ck swinging, pissing match contest and the latter wanted to one-up the former. I guess Frankie, being on the crusaded quest that he was, had his eyes on AirCal. And Bobby decided to jump the gun and snatch them before his nemesis could make up his mind.

    It was a classic case of “I don’t want it, I don’t need it. But I’m going to get it before he does.”

    But it wasn’t totally in vain. It definitely got AA a firm hold into SNA and SJC. That paid off for a long time after, even though by 1991, as with USAir and PSA, there was almost nothing else left of what they bought.

    As I said in another recent post, the Recession of 1990-1991 absolutely hammered everyone.

    Ok…I’m done for now.

  5. Gary Smedile Avatar
    Gary Smedile

    Good statistical analysis. But you’ve left out some of the “why’s” and “how’s.” Key to AA growth were two things: a B scale wage for new hires and outlying (spoke) airports (including cross utilization of employees: ramp to ticket counter and back, etc). And the dawn of aircraft leasing. AA made a great deal to lease a slug of MD80’s which gave them a financially advantageous tool to grow and grow rapidly.
    Also, don’t overlook that up until Icahn, TWA was the number one transcon carrier: JFK to LAX and SFO. And #1 carrier in JFK and transatlantic. AA strength in NY was underpinned mightily by the hourly LGA flights to BOS and DCA.
    And then there was Bob Crandall. Passed over for TW leadership, he left and once his non-compete interlude had ended, landed at AA and went all out to build AA into the “take no prisoners “ powerhouse that it became. Legendary leadership. Quite different from TWA in the same era. Then came Ic#hn who decimated and destroyed and who has a reserved spot in hell.
    Anxious to read your Part 2

  6. Tim Dunn Avatar
    Tim Dunn

    The early deregulation years left all of the airlines trying to figure out how to survive. Some airlines decided to walk away from traditional hubs to build others while some carriers became stronger in some hubs through organic growth but most size shift came through the failure of other carriers and mergers.

    The “decade” of the 80s ended with the Gulf wars which forced several carriers out of business and allowed the legacies to pick up new assets.

    The same cycle repeated in the 90s, 2000s, and later with terrorism, macroeconomic events and disease.

    The bottom line is that AA survived all of that and continued to grow even with its HDQ move from NYC to Texas and organic development of the DFW hub (one of the smarter moves of the deregulated era) but lost the plot and quit winning halfway through the deregulated era and after 9/11.

    it is always good to look back at history but also said to see what AA had and has been able to build on -and even lose, even if they have gained elsewhere.

    1. Matt D Avatar
      Matt D

      To be fair, the end of the ’80s and start of the 90’s just finished off jobs that were started many years earlier. Like Pan Am. Its demise can arguably be reverse engineered all the way back to around 1970 and how they leveraged themselves to the hilt launching the 747 program. Then there was the National disaster.

      The fall of Eastern can probably be traced back to around 1982, give or take and Borman. That appears to have been about when the labor turmoil started. They never recovered from that and it ultimately finished them off.

      One of Easterns earliest 757 routes was ATL-ONT. THAT was a treat to see when it arrived in the mid/late afternoon.

      (as an aside it can probably be argued that in many ways, JetBlue is a sort of contemporary reincarnate of Eastern and National to a lesser extent as far as route system)

      PSA probably wouldn’t have lasted much longer had USAir not bought them. They were already a very sick airline by 1987. That goes back to using 727s on intra-CA when that was far too big and heavy of a plane for those routes. They didn’t learn the lesson that their protogé, Southwest did: the 737 would’ve been a far better choice. And then they bought MD-80’s AND BAe-146’s. One of the biggest “what were they thinking” questions of all time in the annals of airline history.

      Had they continued flying, I highly doubt they would’ve made it alive past 1991. Because of both how weak they were and the Recession of that year. And they would’ve been a 4th major casualty of that year.

      TWA and Northwest *almost* didn’t make it. I had an aunt (now deceased) who was a travel agent. And so she’d bring me her industry magazines because she knew I loved to read the airline ads and stories. And I remember reading that both of those airlines were placed on “death watch” notice in the Summer of 1992. I don’t believe that announcement was ever made to the mainstream press. But the industry was advised against using both airlines that year.

      There were also a few proposed mergers that ultimately fell through. TWA/Western had talks. There was talk of Pan Am and Northwest getting hitched. United and the original Frontier did some dancing.

      Interesting times, for sure. After all that turmoil, no wonder that most of the 1990’s were so serene and thus, mostly forgotten. And that was *my* “coming of age” era.

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