JetBlue is Making Fort Lauderdale Into Its First Hub


I’ve talked about how JetBlue has been making a push to replace Spirit in Fort Lauderdale and become a clear number one in the market, but this is much bigger than that. For the first time, it looks like JetBlue is trying to create a real hub for itself. Connecting the US to the Caribbean is bound to be good business, and JetBlue is going for it.

Since it first started flying, JetBlue has never had much interest in connections. Oh sure, there are pockets of connecting benefits — like on European flying, for example — but that has always been a tiny part of the airline’s network. Don’t believe me? Look at this:

% of Domestic Passengers Flying Nonstop on JetBlue by Year

US DOT OD Survey data via Cirium

I know what you’re thinking… maybe international changes this. I can’t publish international data, but I can tell you that it lowers this percentage only very, very slightly. JetBlue does not like to connect people… or it didn’t before now.

The airline has quietly been building a four-bank hub in Fort Lauderdale for this summer. The bank structure looks to have just started flying recently, so it has been hiding in plain sight. It’s just that I only stumbled upon it recently when looking at data for a presentation I’m doing on JetBlue for an investment bank.

Let’s start by looking at last summer to see what JetBlue looked like then in Fort Lauderdale.

JetBlue FLL Departures by Hour – July 14, 2025

Schedule date via Cirium

This is not a hub. As you can see, there’s no hour with more than 10 departures or arrivals. Sure, there are waves of morning and evening departures but that is built for the local market. Now take a look at this year:

JetBlue FLL Departures by Hour – July 13, 2026

Schedule date via Cirium

Look! Banks! There is now an early morning arrival bank that connects to a mid-morning outbound. As soon as that’s gone, another bank comes in and departs on a big mid-day bank. Then we have the mid-afternoon arrivals that turn to early evening departures and finally the evening arrival bank that turns to a late evening bank.

I struggled with the right way to show this, so I turned to my good friend/AI overlord Claude to help. And Claude suggested looking at this as a function of how many airplanes are on the ground at any one time. It’s not perfect since there’s no guarantee that a plane turns on itself, but it shows pretty clearly what’s happening here.

JetBlue FLL Aircraft on the Ground by Time

Schedule date via Cirium

Cool way to look at it, right? Thanks, Claude. You can see the very clear bank structure with this illustration… and the complete lack of one last summer.

The point is FLL is a great hub for reaching into Latin America. Spirit knew it, and JetBlue certainly did too. But with Spirit in the market, it wasn’t going to be as easy to make this work. Now that Spirit is gone, JetBlue can come in with fares that might actually make the airline a profit.

To do this, of course, it has to turbocharge the hub by adding destinations and frequencies. It has most certainly done that. Look at this July vs last.

Maps generated by the Great Circle Mapper® – copyright © Karl L. Swartz.

JetBlue hasn’t waited for Spirit to go away, but it waited until it was pretty clear that Spirit was going to actually go away. The build-up since last fall has been significant. There are a lot more cities with flights to Fort Lauderdale, especially from the Midwest, the South, and the Caribbean. And then there’s been more frequency added to existing routes.

Note that this doesn’t even include the already-announced fall growth which includes new service to Baranquilla and Cali in Colombia alongside Columbus and Indianapolis. That alone shows the nice balance of cities that can be added when hub economics start flowing.

If I’m JetBlue, this is by far the most exciting thing I have going. And yes, it does mean having to pull down flying elsewhere. Just this weekend, JetBlue pulled some capacity out of Newark, exited Manchester, and trimmed some Orlando and San Juan. There is going to have to be more coming, but these look like the right place to start.

JetBlue is doing everything right as it tries to build this market. It took long enough, but JetBlue is finally on the cusp of having a dominant position in a hub that it can defend.

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Brett Avatar

57 responses to “JetBlue is Making Fort Lauderdale Into Its First Hub”

  1. sunsandfeetandfood Avatar
    sunsandfeetandfood

    A hub in Fort Lauderdale isn’t going to save JetBlue. The airline is a leisure-focused carrier, with high operating costs, doesn’t have a meaningful corporate travel share, and yet assumes a network that tries (in vain) to compete with the legacy carriers. JetBlue is headed to bankruptcy and an eventual liquidation following in Spirit’s footpath. Only a matter of time.

    1. SEAN Avatar
      SEAN

      Keep telling yourself that. been hearing that one for 25-years.

      “I struggled with the right way to show this, so I turned to my good friend/AI overlord Claude to help. And Claude suggested looking at this as a function of how many airplanes are on the ground at any one time. It’s not perfect since there’s no guarantee that a plane turns on itself, but it shows pretty clearly what’s happening here.”

      Cranky, remember Florida is close to the Anthropics & that’s why you have an A I overlord.

      1. See_Bee Avatar
        See_Bee

        B6 gives zombie vibes – not doing bad enough to go bankrupt but a viable enough business that investors and creditors would keep it afloat

        1. SEAN Avatar
          SEAN

          You are describing every large corporation in the US right now with the exception of Apple & maybe Wal*mart.

          Perhaps picking up some Spirit A320’s& pilots/ flight crews will help there growth.

        2. SEAN Avatar
          SEAN

          You are describing every large corporation in the US right now with the exception of Apple & maybe Wal*mart.

          Perhaps picking up some Spirit A320’s& pilots/ flight crews will help there growth.

        3. Eric R Avatar
          Eric R

          While I understand what you are getting at, it also implies that B6 will not now or ever in the future innovate to break its zombie cycle. History shows they haven’t been innovators since their initial inception, but if they can reinvent themselves, there is potential for them to break the cycle.

          The challenges I see is whether they can gain enough gates to scale FLL, and what can they do to attract more premium passengers.

          1. See_Bee Avatar
            See_Bee

            I don’t completely disagree, but I think the 2 (huge) headwinds for B6 are:

            1) Lack of innovation since they put live TV onboard doesn’t give them the benefit of the doubt, especially since they haven’t had materially turnover in management (Mint was nice but not a game changer that transformed the company; if anything, it pushed it into more money-losing markets across the Atlantic)

            2) Industry consolidation over the last 15-20 years has created more robust competition – the big 3 have their moats and WN’s recent transformation and legacy footprint

            1. Jim Bryer Avatar
              Jim Bryer

              @SeeBee

              You think their TATL markets lose money? You’re wrong. It’s the highest margin flying. Get a clue, dude.

            2. See_Bee Avatar
              See_Bee

              I’m sure certain routes are profitable, but let’s think about a couple things here:
              -They’ve trimmed the portfolio as part of JetForward: Gatwick, 2x Paris, seasonal AMS/DUB; they haven’t secured the corporate demand nor partners to run the routes in higher frequency or for longer shoulder periods
              -What is B6 doing with those tails during the winter? They aren’t seeing that same yield as TATL year round, implying the fleet’s year-round margin is a lot lower than you think
              -TATL flying has been a huge distraction. What other markets and internal resources could have received attention during that time that are more central to their strategic core? Summer seasonal TATL flying doesn’t help you build a moat when other airlines fly the same markets year-round sometimes on widebodies

              It also doesn’t hurt to be nice and try to understand other POVs. Bring facts and be cordial

  2. Seth Miller Avatar

    JetBlue has tried to build hub-style banks before. You even wrote about it (https://crankyflier.com/2025/01/21/jetblue-might-kind-of-like-connections-now/). Admittedly, just the morning/evening banks, without the mid-day bits. But those are also going to be the compelling connection times for most of the FLL ops, too.

    Never mind that it hasn’t worked before. But this isn’t really the first try.

    1. emac Avatar
      emac

      Boston Globe story about the MHT exit quoted 37 pax average on JFK-MHT. Granted it was a late night/early morning connection collector, but that’s ugly (and jibes with the percentages Cranky quotes).

      1. Brian W Avatar
        Brian W

        JFK-MHT may have just been to slot squat during non peak times. For low volume flights, figure they would have Cape Air do the flying. Similar to ISP-BOS not starting due to low demand and being given to Cape Air to serve.

    2. Brett Avatar

      Seth – I wouldn’t call that a real bank structure. As I said in the post, there are pockets of connecting benefits in the JetBlue network, but it hasn’t ever built a true banked hub.

  3. Southside Emil Avatar
    Southside Emil

    To ramp up you need planes and people. Does JetBlue have a plan? Will AA in MIA or Delta in ATL or MCO become worried?

  4. Arubaman Avatar
    Arubaman

    Perhaps this makes them more attractive to United. Otherwise, like Spirit, this is excess capacity.

  5. NedsKid Avatar
    NedsKid

    Planes on the ground is a good way to look at it as far as resources like facilities go. I like that view.

  6. See_Bee Avatar
    See_Bee

    All B6 has to do is look down the road at MIA for the SFL hub template. Glad it looks like they are creating an effective N-S connector

    My big question: will B6 build enough operational flexibility into the schedule to ensure things don’t break? B6 is notorious for pushing the operation harder than its peers and then acting shocked when their ops stats are worse (“oh but we operate in the congested NYC airspace!!” yeah well so does DL and UA and somehow they have better stats…)

    1. John G Avatar
      John G

      DL and UA have other hugs away from the NE. B6 does not, at least not til now.

      1. See_Bee Avatar
        See_Bee

        I’m talking if you just pull ops stats from JFK (and LGA & EWR). If you look on a like-for-like basis, B6 is worse than the competition. It’s even evident in the schedule where they have shorter block times and ground times

        1. Alex_fly Avatar
          Alex_fly

          Block time and AOG time is where they have to push the operation in an attempt to keep costs down.

          That’s a byproduct of the LCC model and the ridiculous size of the Big 4 who can hide costs in their loyalty revenue.

  7. George Romey Avatar
    George Romey

    Can JetBlue effectively compete against AA at MIA for traffic going south? Traffic that generates profitable fares, something that was absent at Spirit. Even O&D at FLL has been low yield. Can B6 change that dynamic?

    1. Brett Avatar

      George – That’s what we’re about to find out. Spirit’s fares were too low. JetBlue can come in with a premium product and get better fares. FLL is also a lot cheaper to use than Miami. South Florida is also a very big market that is getting richer and richer by the day. So there should be room for something like this.

      1. SandyCreek Avatar
        SandyCreek

        Speaking of premium products, how about mint? Can LR / ULR variants reach destinations further south, e.g. Sao Paulo? And are we still on track to seeing the “junior mint” domestic first offering in this or next year?

        1. Brett Avatar

          SandyCreek – An XLR could, but they aren’t flying those. As for the LR, I’m guessing that would take some weight restrictions, though I’m not completely sure on that. As for domestic F, I haven’t heard any updates suggesting a change in plans. It’s definitely coming. Just a matter of when, exactly.

  8. emac Avatar
    emac

    “presentation I’m doing on JetBlue for an investment bank” Cool!

    1. 1990 Avatar
      1990

      Bahaha!

      (If the shoe fits…)

  9. Jason Avatar
    Jason

    JetBlue EWR cuts free up an additional 8 to 10 aircraft for more pending growth coming for the November & December holiday schedules.
    Sounds like a mixture of some new West Coast with Red eye returns and new South and Central America red eye turns similar to NK operations allowing for some new Midwest and east coast round trips.
    I’m surprised they didn’t at least keep a daily MHT-FLL round trip.

  10. Paper Boarding Pass Avatar
    Paper Boarding Pass

    Ms Joanna repeatedly stabbed her Spirit Voodoo Doll and it worked!!
    With the new breathing room, she needs to maintain her momentum:

    – there is an exiting pay-to-enter lounge at FLL T3; either buy it out, or hand out coupons to elite PAX for entry, or build a lounge in T4
    – bulk up LAX, B6 & NK were neck and neck; an opportunity to pick up incremental revenue
    – long term, consider a commuter operation at FLL & SJU (aka BlueExpress or JBExpress) with feeder work for south Florida, Bahamas, and Caribbean; requires an amendment to the exiting pilot contract
    – shake P&W down for any remaining GTF credits or cash compensation for the AOG issue, cash is king
    – join Star Alliance and provide the domestic leg for Euro & Asian Star partners at JFK T6 as well as BOS with some activity at LAX
    – by joining Star, B6 becomes the “shadow carrier” filling in UA holes in North American coverage; allows UA to concentrate on its TALT & TPAC operations
    – either UA or Star buys new B6 stock providing a place holder; no guarantee Rubio nor Vance will be elected when The Donald leaves office

    1. SandyCreek Avatar
      SandyCreek

      I am not entirely convinced about bulking up LAX. It has finite assets and dumping capacity in an (extremely expensive) airport already heavily served by all of the big 3 PLUS WN PLUS AS that JetBlue has tried and withdrawn because it was hemorrhaging money just seems to be a distraction from its bread and butter, namely BOS / JFK / FLL.

      1. See_Bee Avatar
        See_Bee

        100% – B6 needs to build their moat and (re-)establish a hub as a profit center. LAX would be a waste of cash and resources from high operating costs and significant competition

      2. MDR Avatar
        MDR

        Agreed. I’d argue that any flight that doesn’t touch BOS, JFK, or FLL should be cut completely. And that includes SJU, MCO, LGA, EWR, etc.

    2. Paper Boarding Pass Avatar
      Paper Boarding Pass

      I suggest bulking up LAX because B6 cannot rely solely its East Coast centric approach. Some type of cross country service is needed to draw in additional customers upset with the Big Four

      1. Anthony Avatar
        Anthony

        Bulk up to be the 6th or 7th largest carrier at LAX; great strategy. Did you not see all of the cross-country flying B6 did after COVID? It’s all gone now, if that’s any indication.

  11. Cjared Avatar
    Cjared

    It is Overlord Claude with an upper case “O”. Why risk wrath?

    1. Brett Avatar

      Cjared – Crap, you’re right. Please accept my apologies Overlord Claude. I bow down to thee to ask for forgiveness.

      1. Arubaman Avatar
        Arubaman

        I’m not trying to get sideways with you again, but if Southwest took all of Terminal 2 and put God-knows-how-much money into Terminal 1, captured a large share of the FLL cruise ship traffic, added Carribean flying, and connected ALL of that to their far superior network and STILL NEVER MADE IT WORK, how can JetBlue be successful in FLL?
        Yes, JetBlue has lower labor costs, but Southwest had massive economy of scale and, even more importantly, better FF market penetration. It’s really time to acknowledge that FLL is the MCI of the east coast: It is an airline graveyard.

        1. Brett Avatar

          Arubaman – There are a lot of differences. First, Southwest is not good at serving Latin America. It serves beach destinations for Americans, but it has never done brisk business serving the VFR markets, and much of what JetBlue will do is visting friends and relatives. Further, South Florida is a premium-heavy market, and Southwest had no premium anything to speak of. JetBlue has the right product, even better when domestic First Class exists. And third, Spirit is gone.

          1. Arubaman Avatar
            Arubaman

            Good rebuttal, especially the final 3 words: Spirit is gone. American didn’t worry much about Spirit in FLL, just as Delta liked having Spirit in DTW and Sunny in MSP: Weak competition in a hub is the best competition. But now JetBlue will be going head-to-head with AA’s fortress hub down the street. AA cannot afford full-fare leakage to another U.S. carrier in South Florida to South America. They cannot allow JetBlue to get a toe-hold. So it will be interesting to see how American responds. Deep South America is safe (except for LATAM) for now. Other markets might require a response.
            It’s somewhat saddening to see JetBlue reduced to VFR traffic. Yes, they have always been primarily VFR, but they did have business travelers in BOS and, to a lesser extent, JFK.
            In your analysis above, you correctly stated Southwest uses the Carribean as a beach destination. I think they do the same thing to Hawaii. But if that generates more credit card takes in California, they are playing the long game. I believe the one single route WN flies that has the highest percentage of Rapid Rewards cash-ins is BWI-AUA. So maybe that’s their loss leader, their loaf of bread. But if the clientele spends enough on groceries, gas, cell phones and whatever else to accrue those points, maybe that route is their biggest winner. We can never forget that an airline is really a credit card company and a bank.

        2. Bradley Martin Avatar
          Bradley Martin

          Southwest airlines has never operated any flights at FLL except at Terminal1.

          1. Arubaman Avatar
            Arubaman

            Semantics, my friend. Does all the A gates and all the B gates except for a couple stragglers satisfy you?

  12. O'Hare Is My Second Home Avatar
    O’Hare Is My Second Home

    Hopefully this will be the final gasp and terminal rattle for the abomination known as B6. Death to Noo Yawk’s Hometown Airline. Mint Is Shint.

    1. Anthony Avatar
      Anthony

      Tell us the story of you getting fired from JetBlue.

  13. 1990 Avatar
    1990

    Hope this works for them. I want jetBlue to continue (as itself, not as, ugh, United) because they’re simply a better experience for passengers (more legroom, live TV, free WiFi, better snacks, everything Mint). They just need to get their financials in-check and ensure greater operational reliability… is that too much to ask?

  14. Jim S Avatar
    Jim S

    The big news in this article is that JetBlue is giving presentations to investment banks. Are they looking to be acquired?

    1. Brett Avatar

      Jim S – That is definitely not what I said. I did a presentation earlier today as part of an airline strategy series for a bank. I’ve done presentations for them before on things ranging from ULCCs to American’s strategy, and it goes to their clients. JetBlue has nothing to do with it other than being the subject of my talk.

    2. Jason Avatar
      Jason

      They have been exploring the “viability” of a sale since at least March, according to Reuters, so there is no big news here, regardless of the audience for Brett’s presentation(s).

  15. Lou Brusco Avatar
    Lou Brusco

    As someone who spends a lot of time in the Ft Lauderdale area, I would love a non-Spirit hub in FLL – but count me out if it’s JetBlue – become a real airline with business class on all planes and a worthwhile frequent flyer program then we can talk.

  16. B2 Avatar
    B2

    To me, this appears to be making the company more sellable because its loose collection of routes and real estate probably has less value than selling a robust hub. It may be the part of the asset that could be cleaved off in a sale, with other aspects divested or given to multiple buyers, such as American buying the JFK assets and United buying Fort Lauderdale.

    Structurally, I’m not sure with their debt, costs, and revenue if any of the moves can overcome that. This just seems to me like optionality for their corporate development group in expanding the number of suitors and types and structures of transactions for the airline to find its soft landing in the next year or so.

    As a New Yorker, I’m rooting for Jet Blue, though I rarely fly them because I live on the west side of Manhattan and it’s hard to beat Newark for convenience and non-stops (and the humbling passenger experience!).

    1. Stormcrash Avatar
      Stormcrash

      By the same vein though it also makes them more robust as a solo going concern and gives them a point to defend from against hostile takeover

    2. Dartagnan77 Avatar
      Dartagnan77

      I must say I’m really perplexed of how many keep bringing up this “selling the parts”. Where does this come from? That is not gonna happen. This is not Pan Am acquiring JetBlue in whole is what brings the majority of its value to the table not its parts. Every big operation at JetBlue ie the northeast and south Florida would bring anybody who acquires them in whole a much larger value to themselves.

      1. B2 Avatar
        B2

        Well, currently, unless something major changes, they’re not very well positioned to be a stand-alone carrier, given their debt and their inability to show a profit, as well as being too small to compete effectively against the big four. It’s not to say that they don’t have a lot of great things going for them and that they’re not a passenger favorite, because they do have a great brand and they’ve been an innovator on product. Despite some of their assets, it’s hard for me to see how they remain a standalone carrier, especially in the face of the current fuel challenges, which will only shorten their runway (pun not intended).

        Barring any significant shift, the carrier essentially becomes a distressed asset, and there are a lot of different ways that distressed assets become dispositioned. When you think about antitrust concerns or objections from large carriers carving up various pieces, that could work around some of those obstacles, although it would certainly be messy. I’m not sure there is a recent precedent for this either. The real underlying value of their assets may be in real estate at key airports, as well as slots and route authorities, and less so in the brand, the frequent flyer program, or the fleet.

        At the end of the day, no matter how much people love the brand or the product or the route network, the ultimate measure of success of an airline is the ability to consistently generate a profit and meaningful free cash flow, which JetBlue has had a multi-year track record of not being able to produce.

        There is a reason that B6 hired investment bankers to shop the airline around.

      2. Jason Avatar
        Jason

        They primary value of B6 is its control/ownership of gates, slots and aircraft. It is just worth the parts, not a recurring business model. Even Pan Am had route authorities that made it desirable.

  17. Greg Avatar
    Greg

    “ The point is FLL is a great hub for reaching into Latin America.”

    It’s great if you’re charging Spirit fares. It’s not that great at fares that an airline like JetBlue or any of the legacies need. The VFR and business traffic prefers Miami. Look at Copa’s or Avianca’s or even Caribbean Airlines’ schedules to Miami vs their schedules to Fort Lauderdale. People were willing to fly to Fort Lauderdale on Spirit because it was cheaper. Are those people going to be willing to pay JetBue’s higher prices to go to Fort Lauderdale? The connecting traffic is going to be poor yielding for JetBlue as it has to compete not only with American’s hub at Miami but also with nonstops from originating cities that it’s seeking to connect to the Caribbean. Most of JetBlue’s Caribbean offering from Fort Lauderdale are to larger, more popular destinations such as Montego Bay, Cancun, Punta Cana, Nassau, Providenciales, Sint Maarten, etc. Those are all well served from the major cities that JetBlue will be looking to connect via Fort Lauderdale. Why would someone in Atlanta or Charlotte choose to fly JetBlue via Fort Lauderdale instead of taking one of the several nonstops from their city?

  18. Jason Avatar
    Jason

    ATL and CLT are also great hubs connections into Latin America, with a far broader interior reach than B6 will ever have at FLL. I suspect DL/AA adds will remind B6 of such. I wouldn’t be surprised to see either of them try to pick up a few of the highest yielding international nonstop markets from FLL, either (in addition to some domestic adds).

    1. B2 Avatar
      B2

      True that ATL and CLT are very efficient, huge, connected hubs. But their actual cities and locations are far less desirable than South Florida. Having a hub with much higher O&D demand makes FLL unique. And it is in a high-growth part of the country that’s also attracting a great deal of wealth, and FLL’s costs are more competitive than MIA (tho likely higher than CLT’s bargain fees).

      FLL also has a large immigrant community, which builds year-round VFR demand and serves as a leading indicator of economic growth due to work ethic, entrepreneurship, birth rates, etc. Additionally, cost of living is still lower than some other big hub cities, which can help keep airline costs down with labor advantage.

      I do think a major downside is hurricane season though, and I’m not sure if air traffic is or will become an issue as S FL continues to grow.

    2. Paper Boarding Pass Avatar
      Paper Boarding Pass

      That’s why B6 needs to join the Star Alliance which would streamline connects with Copa & Avianca at FLL.

  19. Scott Hamilton Avatar
    Scott Hamilton

    I don’t follow the minutae of airlines (like hubs) but I alway assumed JFK was a hub. Silly me.

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