The Spirit is Gone


In the past, we’ve seen airlines seemingly shut down out of nowhere. Spirit was not that airline. After years of declining fortunes, the airline went through two bankruptcy stints and a near-herculean effort by its management team to save the airline. In the end, the pioneer of the ultra low cost model in the US just didn’t have a chance, and it shut down in the early morning hours of May 2. Spirit was just one month shy of its 34th birthday. It is survived by 8,000-or-so employees who stayed until the bitter end. We can all only hope for a soft landing for them at a new airline.

Spirit’s early days were fairly unremarkable. It was originally a charter operator known as Charter One, but in 1992 that airline became Spirit and launched its first scheduled flights from Detroit to Atlantic City. This was a Detroit-based airline in a way similar to how Sun Country was a Minneapolis-based airline. But that model did not last.

This was a company flying old DC-9s and MD-80s on a broad network that focused on second-tier leisure markets. In 1998, Detroit was the airline’s largest operation followed by Atlantic City and Myrtle Beach. But soon, Fort Lauderdale started to rise in the airline’s network. Spirit moved its headquarters near FLL in 1999. By 2000, FLL would be Spirit’s second-largest market behind Detroit, finally passing it in 2004.

This, however, did not make Spirit a success. It was still an airline that was floundering. That would change in 2005 when Ben Baldanza was hired as President, fully taking the reins after Indigo Partners bought into the airline in 2006.

Until this point, you probably had never heard of Spirit unless you lived in Detroit or some random city. But Ben and the team he built launched this airline into the stratosphere. He decided to take the Ryanair-style pricing model from Europe and bring it to the US. Base fares were dirt cheap, but you had to pay for everything from carry-on bags to soda or even the privilege of buying a ticket online. The options were endless, and public reaction was sheer horror.

But while people joked about how the airline would start charging to use the lav next, Spirit quietly found out that this model resonated. People were buying tickets, paying fees, and making this airline wildly successful. In the early days, Spirit relied on all this free publicity, good or bad, to help fill those airplanes. It went with low-brow jokes like its famed MILF sale (Many Islands, Low Fares). Every time it did something shocking, it would get more and more coverage.

It’s incredible just how much free publicity this airline got. Every late-night host got into the act, calling out Spirit as the butt of any joke remotely related to the airline industry. And it was all good as far as Spirit was concerned. Ben and his airline were (almost) never apologetic.

In Ben’s 10+ years at the helm, Spirit became a wild success. But there were already flaws developing. Most notably, this was an airline that did not care one bit about getting you to your destination on time. The idea was that you cared only about the fare, so Spirit would do whatever it could to keep its fares low. That meant running its fleet hard and having poor operational recovery. This started to wear thin on customers, and in 2016, the airline moved to Bob Fornaro to take over at the helm to create a kinder, gentler Spirit.

Bob wasn’t there for long, but soon after his successor Ted Christie took over, the pandemic hit. The pandemic masked other systemic issues which would hit Spirit hard. Spirit made its living with low, unbundled fares that the legacies couldn’t easily match. Once the legacies had basic economy to create a more equivalent fare product and they upgauged to allow for more seats to be sold at those low fares, it was the beginning of the end.

Spirit had to keep its costs low. To do that, it had to grow fast since hiring so many new (read:cheap) employees kept unit costs down. With the pandemic killing demand, Spirit was of course in trouble just like everyone else, but actually it was in even worse shape perversely thanks to the Payroll Support Program as part of the CARES Act. This program divvied up money to airlines to pay employees based on their mid-2019 employment levels. Airlines like Spirit that were growing? They had tougher choices.

Coming out of the pandemic, Spirit was financially weakened and its customers ended up moving more toward the legacies. The airline was also stuck with higher labor costs and no real growth opportunity. After 2019, the airline never made a dime.

With growth gone, debt high, and few options available, the best way out was a merger. It had agreed to be taken over by Frontier… but then JetBlue showed up. JetBlue was willing to pay a lot more, and despite attempts to resist, JetBlue won out. The only problem? The government was broadly against mergers and made the stupidly-misguided mistake of challenging this one. It won in court, but this was a pyrrhic victory.

Frontier was back in the picture again, but Spirit under CEO Ted Christie had an insanely-overinflated view of the airline’s value. Frontier made proposals, but Spirit wouldn’t even come into the same ballpark. Spirit went bankrupt in the fall of 2024, but it again didn’t realize how big its problems were. Frontier made more offers, but Spirit instead stuck with a wildly-impossible standalone exit plan which somehow gained approval. The airline came out of bankruptcy in March 2025 still sick.

At this point, Spirit was still bleeding and it had no viable plan. Ted Christie was out in April, taking a massive compensation plan with him that only hamstrung the airline further. By August, Spirit was bankrupt again.

Under new CEO Dave Davis, Spirit actually tried to save itself. Dave came from Sun Country, and he had a vision for how Spirit would survive. It was a much smaller airline that focused on Detroit — just as Sun Country focused on Minneapolis/St Paul — alongside its strong Fort Lauderdale operation and the slots it had in New York. The team did great work in slashing the airline down to size in bankruptcy this time. Had something like this happened the first time around, it might have been a different story. But it really was too late.

The nail in the coffin was the start of the Iran War. Spirit’s bankruptcy exit plan was already overly optimistic, but with fuel prices doubling overnight, the airline’s survival became nearly impossible. It was burning through cash, and the creditors in bankruptcy had to weigh their options. Would it be best to shut the thing down and liquidate? At least they could recover something.

The government once again stepped in to do something stupid, but this time it was an attempt to help instead of hurt Spirit. The administration was concerned about the optics of lost jobs, something that would have happened at some point anyway. But the demise was very clearly hastened by the war in Iran and rising fuel, so a $500 million bailout was floated.

The problem is if you offer that bailout without any strings, then everyone will want one. It can’t be done. So they tried to structure this as a loan that could become equity. And that equity could then be sold to a merger partner for a profit. We’ve seen constructs like this before, but it was on a much larger scale, like when the US automakers were bailed out. But this was a different story.

Spirit was small, and what was of interest in Fort Lauderdale, Detroit, and New York would be eagerly gobbled up by other airlines. (That’s a topic of a future post.) There would be a place for many of those employees elsewhere. At a time when no airline is thinking it needs to add a ton more capacity, this would actually be good for the industry overall. That, however, didn’t seal Spirit’s fate. In the end, it was Spirit’s creditors that brought the airline to its end.

These creditors were already worried about what kind of recovery they were going to have in a failure as cash dwindled. But if the government put $500 million into Spirit, it was going to be in first position. That means if Spirit did fail, any recovery would first go to the government and then the existing creditors would pick at the scraps.

The argument can easily be made that these creditors should never have put money into Spirit after the first bankruptcy anyway — there has been a lot of good money being thrown after bad at this airline — but they finally decided enough was enough.

And so, we say so long to Spirit. This was an airline that mattered. The people who made it the first US ULCC under Ben Baldanza deserve real credit for building something new, unique, and successful. But once Ted Christie took over, there was nothing done to better this airline as management just watched it circle the drain.

As we say farewell to Spirit, how about more one sale for the road?

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Brett Avatar

85 responses to “The Spirit is Gone”

  1. Kilroy Avatar
    Kilroy

    My heart goes out to the many employees who are impacted by this by no fault of their own.

    I’m not sure that that last image has the best taste or judgment, but perhaps on that basis one can argue that it is a somewhat appropriate way to mark Spirit’s demise.

    1. Jim S Avatar
      Jim S

      Yes, that image is rather disrespectful.

      1. 1990 Avatar
        1990

        *clutching pearls*

        “Won’t somebody please think of the children!” — Helen Lovejoy

  2. Mike (dontflymuch) Avatar
    Mike (dontflymuch)

    Great write up Brett,

    so many angles to take and I feel for the employees who lost their livelihoods. Ill offer two thoughts

    1) this was quite an orderly wind down of services. you arent hearing stories of 100000 passengers stranded ala Thomas Cook Airlines a few years back (yes I know its slightly different) I guess spirit deserves some credit for how they handled the last few days.

    2) Im seeing a movement on social media for spirit passengers to crowd fund spirit back to life and for passengers to “buy ownership” of spirit. To me, the Venn diagram of people who think that will happen and the people who share “I do not give Facebook permission to use me photos…” posts is a perfect circle…

    1. Kevin Avatar
      Kevin

      lol. True!

      1. SEAN Avatar
        SEAN

        agreed. It’s not the employees on the ground that’s the problem, it’s those who think they are the masters of the universe are the problem.

  3. Angry Bob Crandall Avatar
    Angry Bob Crandall

    I am sure that most of us have seen the video from the Captain of the last flight with his emotional farewell from the cockpit reflecting on the airline’s history and final moments, saying: “As we sit here, I don’t remember any of the bad times. Just the good ones.”

    The collapse of Spirit is a reminder that when an airline dies, the balance sheets are just numbers. The human toll, careers ended overnight, livelihoods upended, families uncertain about health coverage is something else entirely.

    I wish all Spirit Airlines employees the best of luck.

  4. Southsode Emil Avatar
    Southsode Emil

    And now we have Delta’s operations crumbling. Delta has fallen from first to sixth place in U.S. reliability metrics, a shocking reversal for a carrier that held the top spot for five consecutive years. There has been a 10-fold increase in cancellations due to staffing shortages, on-time performance dropped from 86% in 2025 to 79% by March 2026.

    Why is this business more difficult to run that Fortune 500 companies?

    1. Bevvy Avatar
      Bevvy

      How I wish that Spirit survived and Delta sank. Such a contrast in employees giving a damn. FU Ed

      1. Tim Dunn Avatar
        Tim Dunn

        aviation social media really does bring out the worst in competition, doesn’t it? lemme guess. Your airline doesn’t do as well as DL on many metrics so you wish ill will on them so “your company” can do better.

        No, DL isn’t crumbling but its operations are not as reliable as they once were, right now in part because DL and DALPA agreed to pilot staffing processes that are so complex and so much different from competitors that they are not workable either for the company or the pilots. and this problem started in 2025 and DL still managed to outperform its competitors on several metrics.

        see bee gets it. Operations are extraordinarily complex and DL has a better track record of making the pieces all work together than any other US airline; a couple of pieces aren’t working right now. They will get it sorted out just as other airlines have in other airlines have fixed their problems.

        and DL employees consistently rate their employer better than any other airline – being so highly paid probably has a lot to do with that.

        It is precisely because DL has paid its people so well, esp. coming out of covid, that many airlines including Spirit, could not keep up w/ higher and higher labor costs because their revenues didn’t support those labor costs. And we have some airlines that continually drag out settling w/ their labor groups to avoid paying higher costs.

        and specific to Spirit, they ran a very good airline from a flight operations standpoint. The company may have been unable to compete on the bottom line but its pilots were outstanding aviators until they couldn’t fly for the company any longer. Their pilots made industry standard compensation until just a few months ago.

        Hopefully lots of former Spirit employee resumes are seen today by other airlines and those that want to start over someplace else get the chance to stay in the airline industry

        1. Bevvy Avatar
          Bevvy

          My go-to airline is Emirates. In the US Alaska.

          1. Tim Dunn Avatar
            Tim Dunn

            and yet Alaska employees don’t rank their employer as well as DL employees do and aren’t paid as well, including some DL pilots that benefit from the very complex scheduling process that makes a relatively small number of pilots very well paid at the expense of an operation the airline can’t manage.

            They will fix it just as AS has fixed any number of operational problems because that is just what well run companies do. You do realize that DL consistently runs a better operation than AS does at SEA?

            this article is about Spirit. Perhaps NK crew members can find work stateside; I doubt if EK and the other Middle East airlines look like attractive places for a career right now

            1. Leroy Jacobsen Avatar
              Leroy Jacobsen

              Etihad offers tax-free salaries. Captains can earn the equivalent of USD $245,000–$380,000 per year, with housing allowances, education allowances for children, and medical coverage for the whole family.

              Boeing has forecast that 54,000 new pilots will be needed in the Middle East through 2040, and locally based airlines have strong order books and continuous fleet deliveries.

            2. JMT Avatar
              JMT

              Good luck Spirit employees.

              So Ed overprices his fares and over complicates his internal systems!

          2. Kevin Avatar
            Kevin

            Hard to go wrong with Alaska, Bevvy! I’ve always had a positive experience flying them. No idea what their international flights are like, but I’m sure we’ll hear about them soon enough.

            1. Tim Dunn Avatar
              Tim Dunn

              the article is about Spirit and what should be a tribute to their employees and what the company contributed – and not airing dirty laundry about any number of other companies.

              and, again, DL happens to run a better operation at SEA than AS and DL employees get better paid and rank their employer higher.

              for all the flak that NK gets, they improved their operation until employees started bailing in the last flew months and they had trouble covering flights.

              NK recognized that running its operation in front of the cockpit door had to be good regardless of what took place in gate houses or in the cabin

      2. tb Avatar
        tb

        The only thing surprising about this comment thread is that it took Tim Dunn longer than 60 minutes to respond LOLOL

        1. CraigTPA Avatar
          CraigTPA

          And then said “this thread should be about Spirit…”, then talked about Delta some more.

          1. SEAN Avatar
            SEAN

            To borrow the GEICO tagline somewhat, when it comes to Delta… it is what he does.

          1. SEAN Avatar
            SEAN

            To borrow the GEICO tagline somewhat, when it comes to Delta… it is what he does.

        2. Yo Avatar
          Yo

          Its a Pavlovian dog response with Tim, just say something about DL that isn’t laudatory and he gallops in to do his usual spiel. His responses got old a long time ago.

    2. See_Bee Avatar
      See_Bee

      Ironically, I think Ed had a quote one time on CNBC that “for a flight to leave on time, over a hundred things have to go right, and if just one thing goes wrong, it ruins the on-time departure”

      It’s crazy complex, but I think that’s also why people enjoy the industry so much – there’s always something to fix or optimize

    3. Kevin Avatar
      Kevin

      And so many of these hiccups have been self-inflicted. it’s long past time for a shake up in the C-Suite. Maybe this will finally get the BoD to act?

      1. Dusty Avatar
        Dusty

        Like Delta’s executives thinking that they’re a “premium” airline?? Nothing but a overpriced Greyhound with wings

      2. See_Bee Avatar
        See_Bee

        They have actually had a lot of turnover in the C-suite outside of Ed, granted it’s been mostly rotating people around or promotions. New CFO, COO, CMO, President/CCO in last ~6 months

        IMO, DL’s operation hasn’t been the same since Gil West left in 2020. Gil & Richard are what made the operation great. Ed is a bean counter and none of the COOs since Gil have been as quality of operators

        1. Tim Dunn Avatar
          Tim Dunn

          Delta has a pretty senior C suite and it is just harder for people to keep hitting it out of the park – which DL did for about a decade. add in that some of DL’s competitors have dragged out pay raises for their employees and the industry is hardly operating on an apples to apples basis.

          and let’s also be clear that it is harder and harder for DL to get the next big leap in revenue even as it keeps using higher salaries as a means to squeeze the rest of the industry. AA and WN are doing well on revenue and will likely grow unit revenue far faster than DL and UA.

          DL is at the top of the industry and still has financial strength on par w/ WN. If this is a game of attrition among the big 4, DL is well positioned.

          DL plays the long game and knows that high salaries SHOULD make their frontline people happy – and most, but clearly not all, are.

          Maybe DL should slow the pay increases and instead hire more people and pay the rest of their workforce less. DL has a very efficient workforce compared to AA and UA but also well paid. Maybe they need to get to levels of efficiency closer to AA and UA instead of trying to surpass them.

          Then the job of execs would be much easier than continuing to try to expect more from their current workforce.

          NK had DL as its largest legacy overlap. B6 is the next most fragile other carrier – and they share their biggest overlap w/ DL.

          Maybe this is all just a part of a long-term plan. Maybe just maybe.

          1. See_Bee Avatar
            See_Bee

            All of that is fine and well, but IMO it’s a cultural thing. Gil and Richard were no nonsense. Operating metrics permeated everything the C-suite talked about with the workforce (“keep our backpacks on”). Since Ed took over from Richard (which has been exacerbated since Gil left), there’s been more focus on the “shiny objects” (i.e., international partnerships, Delta One, Tom Brady, etc.) and less on the nitty gritty of being a good operator

            DL used to LOVE throwing out facts about “300 straight days without a cancellation” or “we cancelled less flights this year that the rest of the US industry combined.” You don’t hear a peep about that anymore – it’s clearly not a top priority

  5. JT8D Avatar
    JT8D

    Notwithstanding Spirit’s demise, the now four member (Allegiant, Avelo, Frontier and Sun Country) Association of Value Airlines apparently is still pushing to get a bailout.

    Let me be the first to say that I will gladly return to Bill Franke the share of the profits that he and his investors at Indigo gave to me when they exited Spirit and Frontier. Oh wait, that’s zero.

    Indigo made a pile of dough on those two airlines and good for it, that’s the American way, but it’s repulsive that investors that wealthy are now approaching the US govt with a begging bowl. Franke and his friends, if they think Frontier is really a good thing, can easily afford to bail it out themselves.

    1. See_Bee Avatar
      See_Bee

      Gotta shoot your shot, right? Can’t blame them for trying lol

    2. Anthony Avatar
      Anthony

      A $10mm donation to the White House ballroom might net billions in bailout funds.

      1. JT8D Avatar
        JT8D

        You’re not wrong.

      2. 1990 Avatar
        1990

        No need. Apparently, we, the taxpayers, are paying for it… $1 billion, up from $400m.

        Classic Trump bait-and-switch. (No, no… it’s donations… it’s for… national security… *wink*)

    3. Yo Avatar
      Yo

      Bill Franke is the anti-christ. Ask anyone who worked at AWA.

  6. vivianlomanfernandez Avatar
    vivianlomanfernandez

    I am very sorry for the thousands of Spirit employees who find themselves without a job. One of Spirit’s other achievements that largely goes unsaid is that it had a very good safety record in its 34 years of existence. The company though is an allegory for all that is wrong with America and the American way of life. Heavy borrowing at all costs. Little to no savings. Always a heartbeat away from financial disaster. You see it in the country’s awful infrastructure, in its healthcare system, and its deep inequalities where billionaires pillage the country at any and every opportunity. Spirit was in some ways the spitting image of the country itself. Bold, brash, novel, and addicted to credit.

  7. Scott Parker Avatar
    Scott Parker

    Spirit is gone because blood sucking capitalists like you enthusiastically supported consolidation of the industry, giving a select number of airlines an obscenelevel of pricing power. Their predatory pricing tactics is what finished them off

    1. Mike (dontflymuch) Avatar
      Mike (dontflymuch)

      As a diehard Baltimore Orioles fan, I can guarantee you that members of the public “enthusiastically supporting” does not cause things to happen.

      but hey, we all grieve differently

      1. SEAN Avatar
        SEAN

        Let’s go Yankees!

      2. Kevin Avatar
        Kevin

        Same, but Brewers.

    2. JT8D Avatar
      JT8D

      Spirit’s demise was less of a murder and more the equivalent of a death as a result of an unhealthy lifestyle. Like being addicted to sugar and dying of diabetes, for instance, though that’s not really the greatest analogy to what happened at Spirit. It is, however, more correct than the idea that Spirit was murdered.

      Spirit had a risky business model that was always likely to end badly – and now has. “But Spirit made a lot of money” – yes, bad business models can make money in the right circumstances. But the test of a model is how it holds up under pressure, and Spirit’s model failed catastrophically. Right from the beginning of the Indigo era, it was easy to predict not only that Spirit was likely to one day fail, but how it would fail, if it retained this model. It wasn’t hard. A necessary (but not sufficient) condition for long-term success in the industry is controlling markets – and Spirit’s model, by design, did not control markets. It was, in some ways, the ultimate spill carrier. That is no recipe for long-term success.

      Spill carriers are intrinsically risky. The big carriers can kill them with remarkably little effort if they want, and that has always been true. Yup, that includes Frontier and Sun Country (which for some reason, Allegiant has seen fit to buy, even though it provides Allegiant – which genuinely does have control of most of its markets – with negative value. It’s like Allegiant taking aim at both of its feet and blowing them clean off).

      It’s incredible the number of people who see “makes money” as signalling “good model.” No.

      What you can blame are all the successive managements (and Indigo the owner – though Indigo was gone by 2013) who saw the model as a winner (Baldanza, Fornaro, Christie, Davis). A year ago, Spirit came out of the first bankruptcy with a new CEO (Dave Davis) and a new board, which was billed as knowing the airline business, and included such luminaries as Robert Milton (former Air Canada CEO) and Dave Siegel (former US Airways CEO, former Frontier CEO, former Sun Country Chair, current Atlas Airlines Chair, also ran airline-adjacent companies like Gate Gourmet, XOJET, etc). Siegel has a resume that makes investors pay attention.

      There was deep-seated conventional wisdom that Spirit’s business model was worthy and just needed a balance sheet adjustment. That was not just wrong, it was disastrously wrong.

      Spirit’s employees were, in the end, poorly led by people who did not understand just how risky was the model they were pursuing. The number of dumb people running airlines is just mind boggling.

      It will be interesting to see whether Frontier survives, because its model is just as risky. They really ought to be seeking alternatives, rather than just asking the government for a hand out.

  8. Matt D Avatar
    Matt D

    Just a minor correction. I think that a pretty solid argument can be made that (the original) PEOPLExpress was the pioneer. Spirit simply took the concept and most of the ideas and just perfected them. But a-la-carte pricing was NOT a Spirit invention. But how many people who are not airline geeks are old enough to remember that far back anyway?

    And I knew of Spirit since at least 1994, where I saw and got some DC-9 pictures of them.

    I’m glad that they did not get a taxpayer bailout, even though I was absolutely certain they would. This was one of the rare times the Feds made the right call. Let’s hope they stick to that.

    1. JT8D Avatar
      JT8D

      Unbundling can probably be credited to Laker Airways – that was one of the concepts of the SkyTrain, which started in 1977, even before US airline deregulation.

      People Express was the domestic pioneer in that regard – I too had the experience of flying from the crappy North Terminal, getting on the aircraft and then FAs going from seat to seat with a cashbox and a credit card imprint (not swipe) machine.

      But after People Express and Laker imploded, that model pretty much vanished (or became quite stealthy) until the European ULCCs – particularly Ryanair.

      In the US, you can probably credit modern unbundling to Allegiant. Allegiant’s S-1, first filed in May 2006, discusses Allegiant’s unbundling approach, including advance seat selection charges. I think Allegiant did it before Spirit, but Spirit was noisy about it, whereas Allegiant saw no point in publicizing something the public did not see as a positive.

      Baldanza (RIP) always seemed to revel in publicizing Spirit’s hard-nosed attitudes towards customers. He made Spirit a kind of fun-house mirror (distorted) reflection of Ryanair. Spirit adopted the unbundling, but not a lot of other things that makes Ryanair successful, like the network and operating models. Ryanair has always been one of the most reliable carriers in Europe, for instance, while Spirit almost always sucked in that regard. And Ryanair owns most of its markets, whereas Spirit owned basically none of them.

      I think a key question now is wither Frontier? Frontier still seems to be mostly a Spirit business model, and while it hasn’t been as hapless a Spirit since Covid, it’s also not making money. And the issue has now become acute with the runup in fuel prices.

      1. Tim Dunn Avatar
        Tim Dunn

        remember that NK existing before 9/11 which was one of a couple significant turning points in aviation. NK was very successful for a number of years as was true for other airlines.

        The big legacy carriers have figured out how to compete with every other airline and NK did not adapt well – but let’s also be clear that success is not equally shared even among both legacy and smaller lower fare carriers.

        B6 execs have said that smaller airlines currently have and will continue to have a hard time competing with the big 4 – and she is undoubtedly right.

        The US government is very likely going to do all they can do to keep as much competition in the industry because that will be good for American consumers.

        Hopefully the industry and other companies learn from what worked and didn’t work for NK. NK made significant contributions to the development of air transporation in the US just as other failed carriers. Legacy carriers did figure it all out until well into the almost 5 decades the US airline industry has been domestically deregulated.

        The barriers to entry are much higher so it is far less likely that new airlines will replace NK than was the case in the past.

        1. JT8D Avatar
          JT8D

          What United, et al, did to Spirit, was no different in (heh) spirit, than what American did to People Express in the mid 1980s. The airlines have been segmenting demand for forty years, and moreover, Basic Economy was not the first time a legacy offered de-contented economy fares. Some people regard Basic Economy as some epochal innovation when in fact it’s just the same old thing.

          It wasn’t so much that the legacies figured out how to pick the pockets of Spirit as much as them choosing to. When they were merging, the legacies said that Spirit, et al, would be able to keep providing consumers with cheap fares – the legacies needed to ensure that was true for a time, plus in 2014, fuel prices collapsed and the airline industry went on a record run of profitable years – what did it matter if you offloaded some of the worst demand to Spirit, et al? But after Covid, with a reduction in business travel, the legacies wanted every last dollar of demand for themselves. So they did what they always had the ability to do, and killed Spirit’s business.

          Be interesting to see whether Frontier is next.

          1. Tim Dunn Avatar
            Tim Dunn

            every one of the current big 3 has had varying degrees of overlap w/ one or more of the low or ultra low cost carriers.

            DL had the most overlap with NK because of the overlap between the two at DTW.

            NK and each of the low cost and ultra low cost carriers are most challenged because they fly many routes in/out of legacy carrier plus WN hubs. Smaller carriers do best when they fly routes that are not flown by the larger legacy carriers plus WN. Problem is that the big 4 fly nearly all of the largest markets in the country.

            Other low cost and ultra low cost carriers will always be at a disadvantage when they try to compete w/ larger and financially stronger airlines but esp. when they compete on routes with a few flights/day that legacy carriers serve w/ much more frequency.

            1. JT8D Avatar
              JT8D

              I had a long-time airline executive ask me today why Spirit had to be a spill carrier, why wasn’t it simply just an alternative carrier.

              The fact of the matter is that if you’re Spirit Airlines on, say, Chicago to Dallas, no matter how good your service, no matter how well you execute, you’re gonna be a spill carrier on that route. On such routes, “alternative” inevitably means spill carrier.

              So, if you want to carve out a sustainable niche, it needs to be not on such routes.

              Impossible? No, not at all. Look at Ryanair. It’s rarely head-to-head with the traditional large carriers of Europe. It carved out alternatives and built them up to be substantial routes in their own right. There is scope to do that in the US too. I mean, you could argue that it was how Southwest grew back in the day too. Back in the day, Dallas Love Field was alternative, so was Midway, so was Oakland, so was…

            2. Brett Avatar

              JT8D – That’s part of the problem in the US. Southwest did what Ryanair was able to do in Europe in terms of serving the markets that the legacies didn’t want. Europe never had that intermediate step the way we did here in the US. So that left airlines like Allegiant to find what was left, but the Ryanair-sized airline in the US is really… Southwest.

            3. JT8D Avatar
              JT8D

              Brett – disagree. Southwest went on a tear starting in the 1980s. In 1985 total domestic RPMs were just a tad less than 300 billion.

              In 2025, total domestic RPMs were just a tad less than 800 billion – i.e. domestic market has expanded by a factor of 2.7x. It’s just a completely different market than it was. One set of airports worked for Southwest back in the day – today, those are mostly full, there’s a second set of outlying airports that work. An example is HVN. In the 1980s, even had there been an aircraft that worked operationally, HVN wouldn’t have worked because the NYC airports weren’t clogged the way they are today – in 1985, People Express was still filling up previously empty EWR.

              In the year 2000, JFK was pretty empty. Southwest tried to make ISP work, but that was ultimately a failure because it didn’t appreciate how much capacity there was at JFK for jetBlue to do its thing. Today, there is no room at JFK. The dynamics of someone competent (not Frontier, not Spirit, etc – but an operationally and commercially competent ULCC) going into ISP would be quite different.

              The point is that there are alternative airports that did not work in back in the day that would work today because the market has changed so much.

              There are also alternative airports that will work so much better today than back in the day because the main airport has gotten incredibly tough and expensive to use. LAX springs to mind. CPE is not only really high, but the hassle factor of using LAX is materially greater. My view is ONT has never been more attractive for an operationally and commercially competent ULCC to go after. That airline, unfortunately, just doesn’t exist.

  9. Bobber Avatar
    Bobber

    Brett, do you see most of these Spirit planes heading to the far East for service with other low-cost carriers, or will engines get snapped up here to alleviate some of the disruption?

    1. Brett Avatar

      Bobber – No clue. For most of the airplanes, they’ll go wherever the lessors can get the best deal. For the older aircraft that Spirit owns, it could be anyone looking to grab extra capacity for cheap. But I really don’t know.

    2. Pilotaaron1 Avatar
      Pilotaaron1

      Bobber – Best bet is to follow both Steve Giordano and Bob Allen of Nomadic Aviation group. They are one of the largest aircraft ferry companies in the US. They do moves all over the world, including old Spirit airplanes. Both posted about it this morning. They won’t be able to tell you who they are going to but they may be able to give you a continent. They also have a YouTube channel called Cockpit Casual if you want to learn more about that world.

      1. Bobber Avatar
        Bobber

        Thanks Brett.

        @Pilotaaron1 – Steve’s Cockpit Casual films are great – I left Twitter years ago so don’t get their up to date posts anymore.

        1. Pilotaaron1 Avatar
          Pilotaaron1

          Steve mentioned in the past that he does post on Threads and Bluesky too if you’re on either of those.

    3. Anthony Avatar
      Anthony

      A few of them have ended up in Vietnam. Google Vietravel Airlines, since I can’t share photos here.

  10. Bill from DC Avatar
    Bill from DC

    Remember that JetBlue wanted to pay $2.6 billion for what is now declared to be worthless. As misguided as that decision was to challenge the merger, it very likely saved a much larger airline from circling the bowl. Unintended consequence? Dumb luck? Both, most likely, but thank goodness for it.

    1. JT8D Avatar
      JT8D

      Agree. Of course, ideally we allow companies to make their own mistakes, so my view is that even though it was one of the dumbest mergers ever pursued, the govt should have allowed it to occur.

      I think, in that timeline, JetBlue would have been in bankruptcy very very quickly, and possibly even unwound the Spirit merger or shut Spirit prior to integration as part of JetBlue Ch 11.

      Spirit equity holders of the time have much to be angry about. That was a payday they missed, and should have enjoyed.

      And certainly airline observers like us were deprived of the spectacle of watching what would have been an incredible JetBlue implosion. As it was, the govt prevented JetBlue mgmt from the consequences of their unwisdom.

      I think JetBlue might have survived – its equity holders, however, almost certainly would not. And I doubt the JetBlue mgmt team would have survived either.

      1. Grichard Avatar
        Grichard

        This is a good take. There’s a lot of rhetoric to the effect of “If only the government hadn’t blocked the merger, we wouldn’t be here today.” But it’s hardly obvious the merger would have produced a durable airline, either. Blocking the merger may have saved Jetblue from itself.

        1. Paul Deaton Avatar
          Paul Deaton

          That’s my take, too.

          What would have happened if the merger had gone through? The Spirit name would disappear. Many Spirit employees would lose their jobs. A few airports would probably lose some service. JetBlue would be saddled with Spirit’s debts and baggage (no, not that baggage), and probably be on their way to Chapter 7 as well.

          What has happened today? The Spirit name will disappear. Spirit employees have lost their jobs. A few airports will probably lose some service. JetBlue is already building on Spirit’s demise, and looking to build a stronger position in its favorite airports – and is in a position to strengthen itself, rather than being dragged down by Spirit’s debts.

          JetBlue is undoubtedly breathing a huge sigh of relief…

    2. Anthony Avatar
      Anthony

      This is the right way to view the failed merger. So much of the discourse blames the government for not allowing the merger and leading to Spirit’s demise, but the merger would have killed both airlines. By the time the deal was killed, the deal was very unattractive. Remember, JetBlue didn’t even appeal the ruling. Likely, breathing a sigh of relief as they escaped their yellow fever dream.

      1. SEAN Avatar
        SEAN

        Remember though at the time JetBlue wanted to grow quickly & a merger with Spirit would have been a way to accomplish that, so let’s not get revisionist.

    3. MNG Avatar
  11. C Greyton Avatar
    C Greyton

    Thank you, thank you for highlighting the link to Christie and his cronies who slowly killed this airline with bad decision after bad decision. $300M new HQ for a cash burning airline in a new world of work-from-home? Sure.

    Announcing during Covid that the c-suite was suspending their pay. But then they all got the back-pay in a catchup payment one month later. Just dishonest, greedy, self-serving.

    Fighting with shareholders and JetBlue for months against their solicitation bid? All because the NK c-suite would have been out of a job with the B6 merger. Franke at F9 was crafty enough to dangle the CEO possibility to Christie of a combined NK/F9.

    And the arrogance of a “speedy” and totally ineffective Chapter 11 process the first time around. Where nothing was accomplished.

    The strategy never evolved to address the real issues, the network only got more bizarre. They even announced Tulum at one point. Creating an unprofitable beech-head in MIA? While you’re burning cash? Taking ever more gates at ORD, BOS, EWR, etc. While. burning. cash.

    And then rebuffing F9’S offer AGAIN after Spirit was basically worthless? At least that would have saved FA/pilot jobs. But the Spirit team prioritized greed. Just look at Christie’s exit package.

    A complex situation for sure, but the reign of that mgmt team cannot be underestimated.

  12. Dan Avatar
    Dan

    Spirit’s model was doomed once the Big Three figured out Basic Economy. They all had cabins that px could buy up into. Spirit had only four BF seats.

    1. JT8D Avatar
      JT8D

      “Figured out Basic Economy” – Basic Economy was just a further segmentation of demand, something the airlines have been doing since American Airlines crushed People Express in the mid 1980s.

      The legacies had the ability to kill Spirit at any time – they pulled their punches because they had represented to the US govt when trying to merge that airlines like Spirit would keep providing low fares. So they needed to make that true for a while, and in 2014 oil prices collapsed and the legacies enjoyed an unprecedented run of profitable years – so what did it matter if they spilled enough demand to make Spirit profitable.

      But the legacies *always* had the ability to lower the boom on Spirit. It was a choice, not something that was made possible by some kind of earth-shattering innovation.

  13. southbay flier Avatar
    southbay flier

    I really love it when our Secretary of Transportation chimed in and blamed the previous administration for causing Spirit to fail instead of just keeping his month shut. His expertise is “Road Rules” not anything related to civil aviation.

    I’m not sure a combined JetBlue and Spirit would have survived since it seems that JetBlue is losing money and not growing. Adding extra capacity would have sunk it.

    1. Whistler Avatar
      Whistler

      Duffy is a doofus. Same with most of the cabinet members. It doesn’t matter who’s in office! Left or right, they’re all spudheads.

      Even though I feel bad for the people of Spirit, the government should never bail a company out. That’s not capitalism

      1. MNG Avatar
        MNG

        Elect a clown, expect a circus.

  14. Angelo Avatar
    Angelo

    Tim Dunn for Secretary of Transportation!

    1. 1990 Avatar
      1990

      Instead of ‘Tim Apple,’ Trump would call him ‘Tim Delta.’

  15. southbay flier Avatar
    southbay flier

    Also, we really do have a K shaped economy and if your customer base is on the lower branch of the ‘K’, your business will struggle. We have heard both United and Delta crow about how their “premium” revenue is way up and not how the back of the cabin is doing great. I’ve been on plenty of planes where F and the extra legroom seats are pretty full and the back is not.

    1. JT8D Avatar
      JT8D

      Meh. This is for sure an economy with vastly widening gaps between rich and poor, but nonetheless, there’s ample evidence that even the richest Americans like well-executed value. Think of the success of Costco. It delivers great value, yet its customers are far from the poorest in the nation.

      Think of the 1970s. Only the richest people flew (most Americans did not regularly fly), yet some of the most successful airlines were PSA, Air California and Southwest, all of which offered well-executed basic air transportation. PSA and Air California had an 80%+ market share on the LA to SF Bay market – those passengers were mostly businessmen (and specifically men, because at the time, most business travelers were men).

      The problem with Spirit was that it offered a crappy, poorly executed product. Yeah, it was at a low fare, but it was also low quality. It was far from a Costco value proposition. It didn’t have to be that way.

      1. southbay flier Avatar
        southbay flier

        I never saw Spirit the same way I saw Costco. Costco offers a quality product in bulk for a good price and good customer service. Costco is a haven for the upper middle class.

        I think of Spirit more like I think of Dollar General with cheap prices, but they come with crappy value. Both have a customer base of those who cannot or will not spend more money even if it means a better value.

        1. JT8D Avatar
          JT8D

          Correct, and that’s the problem. But the fact that Spirit pursued a Dollar General strategy doesn’t mean that a more Costco-like approach isn’t possible.

          In the 1980s and 1990s, Southwest simultaneously had the lowest fares, the highest passenger satisfaction, the best reliability and the strongest financial performance. That was very much a Costco value proposition.

  16. JT8D Avatar
    JT8D

    What story is Frontier telling itself (or its investors) about why what happened to Spirit won’t happen to them?

  17. Mike (dontflymuch) Avatar
    Mike (dontflymuch)

    no clue but I sure hope they tell the story using adorable wildlife animal pictures

    1. SEAN Avatar
      SEAN

      LOL, good one.

  18. George Romey Avatar
    George Romey

    The business model wasn’t built for long term success. Employees want to be paid the same wage as their peers in the industry. A pilot flying a NK 321 is doing the same job as a pilot flying a DL 321. Fuel costs can rise. Airport costs.

    Competitors needing to fill seats respond. AA/UA/DL/WN/AS would rather fill that empty seat at $50 than let it go out empty.

    Finally, after a while flyers adjust their habits to avoid the fee structure. They stuff everything in a backpack that can go under the seat. They bring snacks from home. The fill a water bottle at one of the many airport water stations. They either use a mobile pass or print the BP at home.

    The ULCC has very little pricing power. It does not have International and long haul premium fares. It doesn’t have a huge co-branded credit card program.

    After time the costs rise but the revenues stagnate. And despite this idea on travel sites that if ULCCs just keep the fares really low they will make a profit on high volume, ULCCs go out of business. Frontier’s future looks bleak, particularly if jet fuel prices remain elevated.

    1. SYVJEFF Avatar
      SYVJEFF

      Well said.

    2. JT8D Avatar
      JT8D

      Allegiant has historically had pricing power because it generally offers the only nonstops in its markets. In 2007, during the fuel price spike, Allegiant made money, notwithstanding flying fuel inefficient MD-80s and flying leisure customers. Why? Because it had pricing power.

      Ryanair in Europe has pricing power because it too dominates its markets. Pegasus is a Turkish ULCC, but it too dominates its home base of the Asia-side Istanbul airport – an enormous market. I bet it too has pricing power.

      ULCC is not synonymous with lack of pricing power. However, I agree that the crappy version of the ULCC that Spirit adopted had zero pricing power. It was a spill carrier – which is essentially synonymous with having no pricing power. But neither Allegiant nor Ryanair are spill carriers (though Allegiant is about to change that, because for some reason it’s buying Sun Country, which is absolutely a spill carrier).

  19. bzcat Avatar
    bzcat

    The problem with running an ULCC in the US is you can’t really lower the cost structure enough to make the business model work. You can’t hire cabin crew from another country and pay them below market wage, you can’t re-incorporate in tax haven to dodge taxes, you can’t do certain financial engineering that works under IFRS but not GAAP etc. It was never going to be sustainable in the long run.

    ULCC works in Europe because all those “can’t” are cans. UK-based crew too expensive? Hire them from Bulgaria. Don’t want to pay German taxes to maintain base in Germany? You can be domiciled in Ireland because EU’s single market. Don’t want to carry certain leases on your balance sheet? Don’t be a US company reporting under US GAAP.

  20. Mikey Y Avatar
    Mikey Y

    Hi Brett! Longtime listener, first time caller. Just wanted to thank you for the shout-out to the late, great Ben Baldanza. I actually found your work after first becoming an Airlines Confidential fan and came close to taking Ben’s course at George Mason, though by that time, his health was declining.
    Spirit was a saving grace for me during my cadet days at USMA, ferrying me home to ORD for dirt cheap when I needed low fares the most. And we continued on as price-conscious young professionals and new parents, with Spirit opening doors to affordable family trips to Florida.
    Thanks for the memories!!

  21. Jeremy Avatar
    Jeremy

    I still maintain that there was a way forward for Spirit, but only if they stuck to the ULCC model. Of course the big airlines introducing Basic Economy mostly killed Spirit’s existing business model, but instead of trying to compete with them on product Spirit should’ve focused on cost. They shouldn’t have ordered so many NEOs and they shouldn’t have installed wifi. They were wrong to get rid of change fees and other punitive fees and fare conditions and they should never have introduced, what they called, ‘First Class’. It’s easy to say in retrospect, but I believe a true low-cost operation might’ve saved them.

  22. Eric C Avatar
    Eric C

    Spirit crews were very well respected by their peers. They’re good people who deserve better, and will hopefully soon find employment.

    The Air Current had a quote from the bankruptcy filing from Spirit stating that the aggregate size of the basic economy offerings of the majors was larger than the entire ULCC sector. In effect, the majors upgauged and put the additional seats to basic economy, eliminating the spill that spill carriers like Spirit and Frontier need to exist.

    It’s difficult to see an outcome where a merger with w B6 or F9 would be thriving today. Combining two airlines with high debt, low assets, and low yields while siphoning off billions in cash for the purchase and integration would bring only the benefit of scale, which really wasn’t what was holding them back in the first place.

  23. Jamez Avatar
    Jamez

    I’m waiting for Legend and I-Man to join the conversation….

    (some of you understand the reference)

    I’ll hang up and listen.

    :)

  24. JRS Avatar
    JRS

    Classless image using a national battlefield cemetery to photoshop you pouring one out.

    Not surprised though…

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