Chicago O’Hare’s Gate Fight Gets Even More Complex… and Spirited


After last October’s gate reallocation, the battle lines were drawn at Chicago’s O’Hare airport. United had control of Terminal 1 already and had wrested full control of Terminal 2 away from other airlines (the one exception being its close partner Air Canada having a gate). American continued to have its hub in Terminal 3, but it lost ground, nearly exiting its old stomping ground on Concourse G entirely. But now, it’s time to talk reallocation once again, and American will regain territory on Concourse G. This year is poised to be even more complex, and I blame Spirit.

Let’s take a look at the battle map.

Oh wait, that’s not it. Hold on. Here is the map since last October:

The current status quo shows United and American controlling the vast majority of gates in the central terminal complex. (Delta and Southwest out in Terminal 5 are pretty much irrelevant to this discussion.) The only outliers other than that one Air Canada gate were all on Concourse G.

Spirit had four gates on G while Alaska controlled one. Seven were common use, and one was unassigned. That left American with just two gates on G, those closest to H. But now, things are changing again.

It started late last year when Spirit took $30 million from American to assign two of its gates, G8 and G10, to American. Then, just recently, it got United to pay $30.2 million for its other two gates, G12 and G14. From now on, Spirit will use common use gates for its operation… as long as it still has one (an operation, I mean).

But all of this is fleeting, isn’t it? After all, February kicks off the next reallocation season which will culminate in the next shifting of gates going into effect in October. But what will happen? I am not completely sure.

We do know that American’s surging operation last year means it will gain some gates. Remember, United picked up six gates last year, but they didn’t get assigned until October 1. So for nine months that lead to this year’s allocation, United was operating off fewer gates while American was ramping up quickly. United will lose something. There could be some shuffling with Delta or other little guys too, but again, nobody cares about Terminal 5.

So the question again becomes… how many gates will each airline gain or lose? This is where things get nutty. I asked the City of Chicago exactly how this works with Spirit giving up its gates. Will Spirit’s utilization at each gate contribute to American’s and United’s numbers? Despite some people at airlines saying they thought this would work this way, that is not the case. The Chicago Department of Aviation’s Director of Communications Kevin Bargnes explained that except for a couple of exceptions which don’t apply here:

Primarily, the only thing that matters when gate frontage is reallocated at O’Hare International Airport is how many scheduled departures each airline operates during the calendar year. It doesn’t matter which specific gates those flights use. It also doesn’t matter whether those flights depart from the airline’s own preferential gates, common-use gates, or another airline’s preferential gates

Alright, so we just take total departures and look at percentages for those airlines. I guess Spirit’s goal is to keep having the right to 4 gates so that American and United can keep using them. So let’s look at some numbers.

The way I calculate it, American’s share of departures in calendar year 2025 has now climbed about a point to 39.5 percent while United’s has fallen about a point to near 51.5 percent. Playing with the numbers, this looks like American should gain about 3 gates while United would lose the same amount. At the same time, Spirit does look to be underutilizing its gates the most with Delta and Southwest to a lesser extent.

So does that mean Spirit will lose gates? If so, what does that mean for American and United? I’m sure it’s buried in their contracts with each other, though I did see something in a United memo that caught my eye. United says one of the Spirit gates will go back to the city for reallocation this year. I take that to mean that United paid $15.1 million to effectively prevent itself from having to lose one of the gates it has today that it expected would leave. My head is spinning trying to figure this out.

My assumption here is that with the purchase of Spirit gates on G, United will probably have enough gates there to give most back and not have the rest of the footprint impacted. Meanwhile, American will gain more back on G. The wildcard in this is we don’t know how many common-use gates the city needs next year.

We’ll know for sure once June rolls around, and in this case, I’m so unsure of the situation that I will be eagerly awaiting that June date. The battle for Chicago rolls on.

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Brett Avatar

54 responses to “Chicago O’Hare’s Gate Fight Gets Even More Complex… and Spirited”

  1. Emil D Avatar
    Emil D

    CF,
    1. How do common use gates work? For instance the common use gates have planes sitting in them from yesterday evening’s flights (dog & cat airlines) Spirit has a flight at 8:00 AM and 9:00 AM and needs 2 gates. If the common use gates are being used by other airlines how does this work? Who gets the priority?
    2. Does the new Terminal D come into play?

    1. Skiplagger Wannabe Avatar
      Skiplagger Wannabe

      Great point on question No. 1. Could United or American try getting the common use gate to add even more flights to its gate allocation figures?

    2. Brett Avatar

      Emil D – 1) This is a challenge because the airport uses the gates to help compensate for construction projects, so it’s kind of fluid. If an airplane is just sitting on a gate and someone wants to use it, then they should force them to tow the airplanes off so they can get better use.
      2) D is supposed to replace T2, so that’s going to be all United. But I figure by the time that’s done, they’ll have a whole new lease anyway.

  2. Eric Morris Avatar
    Eric Morris

    Grok agrees with your prediction, but it did base its prediction partly on your articles.

    1. SEAN Avatar
      SEAN

      But when was the last time Elon Musk flew a commercial airline?

    2. Patrick Avatar
      Patrick

      Nobody cares what grok regurgitates.

      1. Eric Morris Avatar
        Eric Morris

        Considering I tried I cared; I wanted to see if it had any additional insights into the City’s rules about Spirit and it didn’t. It proved that Cranky is better than AI even with complex contracts. And you sound like a nice guy Patrick. I’ll use my abacus next time.

  3. Bill from DC Avatar
    Bill from DC

    Like most others here, including Cranky Brett, I just can’t quit this story! The irony is that the gates being fought for so arduously are some of the oldest, most decrepit, substandard gates in use at any major US airport.

    But as a flying member of Team United, give em hell, Scott; no market too small, no frequency too great!

    How long until one of them does some DCA / LGA style slot squatting and flies the smallest plane possible 14x daily to MKE?

    1. Wany Avatar
      Wany

      MKE is too far away. Some ORD-ORD 10 minutes sightseeing flights should do the trick. This is where revenue based mileage earning really shines as old distance based earning will give frequent flyers a big fat 0 miles.

      1. Bill from DC Avatar
        Bill from DC

        ORD to GYY and RFD!

  4. See_Bee Avatar
    See_Bee

    Feels like the city should do something like a 2-year rolling average to prevent this kind of year-to-year volatility. I guess they don’t really care since the 1-year model has created the current capacity war

  5. 1990 Avatar
    1990

    United as Putin’s Russia in the clip-art… yikes.

  6. Old Benjy Avatar
    Old Benjy

    Terminal 2 is like the old LGA. It was obsolete 20 years ago!. Also, why is Delta allowing gates to be taken away? If they want to be a major player at ORD they need to step up their game.

    1. See_Bee Avatar
      See_Bee

      There’s already too much capacity between UA and AA; DL doesn’t need or want to win the local Chicago customer. DL just needs enough gates to get their customers from elsewhere in the country to ORD

      If DL has 7 gates and if they run decent utilization, they could squeeze maybe 8 turns per gate which is 56 flights. Then you can assume (I’m making these up) 10 to ATL, 3 SEA, 7 LGA, 3 JFK, 5 BOS, 3 to SLC, 8 to MSP, 8 DTW plus 3 to LAX starting at some point, that’s 50 flights per day.

      My point is DL has been shrinking their gate count over the last 2 years but it was too much capacity for them anyways. They are probably at about the right size now

      1. Southside Cheech Avatar
        Southside Cheech

        See Bee, If DL wants to be relevant they need to offer more destinations out of ORD. When I travel for work I do not want to go through hubs if I can help it. Both AA and UA offer many direct flights. DL? A very small amount.

        1. John G Avatar
          John G

          Not gonna happen. Not when there are not one but two other legacies duking it out. You are going to get flights to hubs and that’s it.

        2. See_Bee Avatar
          See_Bee

          But that’s my point, they don’t need or want to be relevant to the local customer. Airlines can’t be #1 in every market – it’s literally impossible, and they know that

          Airlines have limited number of assets (planes), and they need to put them in positions that will generate profits. Adding more capacity in their strength markets protect their position on the S-curve (i.e., outsized share in markets earn outsized revenue). DL adding planes to ORD would continue to throw Chicago supply/demand out of whack as there is too much supply, and DL would still be much smaller than UA or AA

          1. Tim Dunn Avatar
            Tim Dunn

            people continue to conflate the gate spat that is going on with AA and UA and the number of gates that each need to control w/ what is going on in terminal 5.

            There are dozens of common use gates in terminal 5 and DL needs more gates to park planes at night than they need to run their daily schedule.

            DL is still and will be the largest carrier in terminal 5. WN operates less than 10 flights/day at ORD.

            ORD is a spoke for DL in another carrier(s) hub but DL still has as good of or better coverage from ORD to DL’s hubs than AA or UA have from DL hubs.

            the real issue is that the whole gate use formula at ORD forces AA and UA (and any other airline that wants to hold onto gates in the T1-3 complex) to overschedule which erodes profits due to overcapacity.
            While real lives are being lost in Ukraine, the ORD shootout will come to an end when both sides realize that they can co-exist given their network strengths elsewhere even if they are not equally sized at ORD.

        3. southbay flier Avatar
          southbay flier

          Delta has hubs in MSP and DTW in the Midwest and they have minimal competition at those two hubs. They make lots of money flying to those two hubs. They could never make that money if they became a third competitor at ORD and their connecting traffic would be spread too thin.

      2. Bill from DC Avatar
        Bill from DC

        DL also has 7-10 daily flights from MDW to ATL (3-4x), MSP (2-3x) and DTW (2-3x). Guess they don’t do the “shuttle” type service to LGA anymore but that might have been ages ago.

        AA and UA do not fly from MDW.

    2. emac Avatar
      emac

      No. LGA was worse. Give LGA its due.

  7. David C Avatar
    David C

    I’m actually amazed United didn’t respond faster to American’s ramp up to prevent losing even 3 gates.

  8. David Avatar
    David

    Why not just move spirit to Termina 5. I’m confused as unlike 1-3, 5 seems to have lots of empty gates most of the day(especially the high numbered new ones at the end.) could this better allocate gate space?

    1. SandyCreek Avatar
      SandyCreek

      At this rate, it’s unknown whether or not we’ll need to move spirit away from any terminal in a year or two…

    2. CraigTPA Avatar
      CraigTPA

      I’d guess that once you’re in a terminal, you’re grandfathered in, and if nothing else T3 is more convenient for the CTA Blue Line station than T5 is, a plus for budget airline flyers. (That’s not a jab at anyone, I’ve used the Blue Line to get into the city, saves major cash on cab/Uber.)

      So Spirit probably doesn’t want to move to T5 unless they have to.

    3. Brett Avatar

      David – It wouldn’t surprise me if that happens eventually, if Spirit is still around. But as long as there are common use gates available in T3, why move?

      1. Steve Avatar
        Steve

        If there are dozens of open gates in T5 why can’t AA and UA use them? At many other airports like EWR they operate from different terminals. I’m confused? I realize it’s not ideal to operate from multiple terminals but it is an option?

        1. CraigTPA Avatar
          CraigTPA

          T5 isn’t connected to T1/T2/T3 after security, so domestic connecting passengers arriving or departing from T5 would have to reclear security when they don’t now. And domestic and international arrivals have to be kept segregated until the int’l arrivals clear immigration and customs. Now if you’re only using one or two dedicated gates for domestic, then you can make a path to get your domestic passengers around I&C, even funnel them onto a bus if you want, but if you tried to flip gates between domestic and international arrivals across the day, that’d get to be a real pain.

          And even with a dedicated path, you can get a mess like this one that popped up on my Bluesky feed this morning:

          https://www.headforpoints.com/2026/02/10/british-airways-experience-manchester-terminal-2/

  9. Becky Avatar
    Becky

    With all of this gate nonsense what would happen if a new entrant (Avelo, Breeze, etc) would want some gates? Just curious

    1. Bill from DC Avatar
      Bill from DC

      They would utilize common use gates

    2. John Avatar
      John

      Avelo is already at O’Hare using common gates in T5.

      1. O'Hare Is My Second Home Avatar
        O’Hare Is My Second Home

        I wouldn’t call flights only to New Haven being present. Contour and DAC have more destinations than Avelo.

  10. Mac S Avatar
    Mac S

    I’m curious why SW isn’t trying to spread their wings at ORD?

    1. Bill from DC Avatar
      Bill from DC

      Up to 250 daily flights at Midway probably has a lot to do with it.

      Their position at ORD is primarily defensive with a smidge of ULCC type opportunism. That is, defensive flights to WN strongholds like BNA, AUS, LAS, PHX and DEN as well as vacation / VFR type flights to Florida, Cancun, PR and DR.

    2. tb Avatar
      tb

      In the current environment, no sane carrier should be trying to “spread their wings at ORD.” As Cranky has covered in multiple prior posts, American has been bleeding out there and United is going for the kill shot. Now enter this frequency/capacity march to the death. SWA is in fine shape at MDW with a few random flights to/from ORD. Leave it at that and wait for the dust to settle on ORD.

  11. Mildly but Justifiably Cranky Ukrainian Avatar
    Mildly but Justifiably Cranky Ukrainian

    I’ll be honest I didn’t have “equating a full-scale genocidal war against free and independent people to a business squabble of 2 airlines at O’Hare” on my 2026 airline bingo card.
    In this absolute masterpiece of an analogy, Brett, I guess bombing the cities into oblivion and taking ruined land is an equivalent of taking more gates, right? What’s the equivalent of committing war crimes then? Hunting and killing civilians is probably just like making snarky comments on an earnings call, right? And bombing maternity wards, children cancer centers, animal shelters, apartment buildings is like what then? I’m getting lost in your very funny and edgy analogy, Brett. Help me out. Thanks.

    1. O'Hare Is My Second Home Avatar
      O’Hare Is My Second Home

      This fight means more to me than the invasion of Ukraine does because it’s taking place in my home and I have credit cards for both airlines. Therefore, I’ve got a piece of the action here.

    2. Aaron Robinson Avatar
      Aaron Robinson

      I’ll third this remark. Even if I weren’t a former United employee, I’d find this deeply insensitive.

      When I was young, I’d make wisecracks and it would cost me something relatively small. When you’re older, the costs become much higher.

    3. Aaron Robinson Avatar
      Aaron Robinson

      Just to add further, you had an April Fool’s Day post about Russia invading Ukraine back in 2014–as Mirza sarcastically noted in the comments, “This [post] aged very well.”

      https://crankyflier.com/2014/04/01/aeroflot-launches-takeover-of-ukraine-international-airlines-eyes-air-moldova

      1. Cranky Ukrainian Avatar
        Cranky Ukrainian

        Oh wow. Well, I guess some people haven’t lost loved ones in a war, and it really shows.

        I’m surprised to see this level of insensitivity and geopolitical ignorance from someone who supposedly travels enough to be more aware than this.

        This is deeply hurtful.

  12. southbay flier Avatar
    southbay flier

    I don’t get why they are using data from before the gate reallocation to determine the succeeding gate allocation. Wouldn’t you want to wait for the first reallocation to be complete before taking new data?

    1. Alex B. Avatar
      Alex B.

      The lease allows any signatory to request a gate reallocation each year, but does not require it to happen.

      I’m guessing that they (the airport) wanted this provision in there and to be a regular part of the long-term lease, so the annual cadence makes sense. The actual gate moves are always going to have some kind of lag, so I don’t see any way you could really speed up that process much.

      I suppose they could’ve limited the request for reallocation to be once every two years? and only base it on the most recent year of data?

      This sort of back-and-forth is annoying, but a) the airport absolutely wants to encourage this kind of competition and growth – that’s a big reason this provision is here, and b) they didn’t contemplate COVID when creating this lease and I doubt anyone anticipated one of the hub carriers (but only one) pulling back so far.

      And as far as I can tell, the whole reason we’re here is because AA pulled back so much.

      Imagine a hypothetical airport with two airlines, A and B. A operates 45 departures, B has 55 departures a day, for 100 total. It’s a nice 45% to 55% market share, and gates are allocated accordingly.

      Then, for some reason, airline A cuts back to 40 departures, while B holds at 55. Now A’s market share drops three points (40/95 = 42%) and B’s increases by 3 points without adding any flights (55/95 = 58%)

      That’s more or less how we got here.

  13. BTN Avatar
    BTN

    Let me make sure I understand how anti-trust works in the US.

    Spirit and JetBlue, which were something like 6th and 7th in the US in size, could not merge. It would have been anti-competitive, says a Federal court.

    But, Spirit can sell public assets, i.e., gates at an airport, to the two incumbents with the most gates already at 51% and 39% (90% of the gates already). Hmmm….head spinning craziness.

    Also, nice map. I see what you did there.

    1. CraigTPA Avatar
      CraigTPA

      The judge in the Spirit/JetBlue merger case based a lot of his judgment not on the merger reducing national competition in general, but that the merger would specifically remove an ULCC from the market. I’ve seen more than a few analysts refer to this interpretation as debatable, at best, but B6 eventually didn’t pursue appeals.

      Also, at the time Spirit wasn’t in bankruptcy proceedings and was characterized as an viable ongoing business. If JetBlue, or anyone, wanted to buy Spirit right now it’d likely get passed through without major issues other than the usual slot concessions at LGA, that sort of thing.

      The entire Chapter 11 process puts a strong emphasis on preserving companies, much more so than law in most other countries, even in the core Anglosphere. Once a company is in the shape Spirit is in now, it can do almost anything to stay afloat that isn’t either flat-out illegal or prohibited by contract provisions that aren’t within the bankruptcy court’s power to waive.

    2. Stormcrash Avatar
      Stormcrash

      As pointed out in the article Spirit didn’t really “sell” anything, they sublet their leased gates. They don’t own the gates and very much may not get to renew their leases under the reallocation process. So this is very different from a merger, nothing was owned or permanently sold, the terms of the lease apparently allow subleasing especially as such subleasing will be penalized because your own share of departure percentage will probably be hurt by it

    3. Alex B. Avatar
      Alex B.

      What’s anti-competitive about Spirit selling off their gate leases?

      ORD maintains a large reserve of common use gates precisely to ensure there is access for either existing airlines to increase service or for new competitors to enter the market. That’s part of the allocation process, too – the City determines how many common use gates they will need.

      The reason the JetBlue-Spirit merger was blocked was not only because it would’ve eliminated a competitor, but because both of the airlines had a massive overlap in their route network – one that they really tried to sneak past the judge in a way that did not help their case.

  14. Skiplagger Wannabe Avatar
    Skiplagger Wannabe

    How do you see Southwest at Midway being affected by American and United’s fight at O’Hare? Obviously, they’re two different airports, but they’re both serving the same market. Would Southwest pull back a little with more capacity coming into the city and let the dust settle?

    1. Brett Avatar

      I think Southwest just keeps doing its thing and hopes it dies down eventually

  15. David C Avatar
    David C

    The taxiway/terminal improvement projects take way too long to complete there it seems.

    By the time they get done they’ll need to start over again.

  16. Stormcrash Avatar
    Stormcrash

    We need a new soap opera name for the Chicago conflict as the sequel to “As Seattle Turns”

    1. See_Bee Avatar
      See_Bee

      Chicago P.D. (Pissing Duel), Wednesdays on NBC?

  17. Will Avatar
    Will

    insane graphic

  18. Concerned Citizen Avatar
    Concerned Citizen

    Love CF, but using a Ukraine map here is in poor taste.

    1. JT8D Avatar
      JT8D

      I guess he’s reserving Gaza for United vs Spirit.

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