Chicago O’Hare’s Gate Fight Gets Even More Complex… and Spirited


After last October’s gate reallocation, the battle lines were drawn at Chicago’s O’Hare airport. United had control of Terminal 1 already and had wrested full control of Terminal 2 away from other airlines (the one exception being its close partner Air Canada having a gate). American continued to have its hub in Terminal 3, but it lost ground, nearly exiting its old stomping ground on Concourse G entirely. But now, it’s time to talk reallocation once again, and American will regain territory on Concourse G. This year is poised to be even more complex, and I blame Spirit.

Let’s take a look at the battle map.

Oh wait, that’s not it. Hold on. Here is the map since last October:

The current status quo shows United and American controlling the vast majority of gates in the central terminal complex. (Delta and Southwest out in Terminal 5 are pretty much irrelevant to this discussion.) The only outliers other than that one Air Canada gate were all on Concourse G.

Spirit had four gates on G while Alaska controlled one. Seven were common use, and one was unassigned. That left American with just two gates on G, those closest to H. But now, things are changing again.

It started late last year when Spirit took $30 million from American to assign two of its gates, G8 and G10, to American. Then, just recently, it got United to pay $30.2 million for its other two gates, G12 and G14. From now on, Spirit will use common use gates for its operation… as long as it still has one (an operation, I mean).

But all of this is fleeting, isn’t it? After all, February kicks off the next reallocation season which will culminate in the next shifting of gates going into effect in October. But what will happen? I am not completely sure.

We do know that American’s surging operation last year means it will gain some gates. Remember, United picked up six gates last year, but they didn’t get assigned until October 1. So for nine months that lead to this year’s allocation, United was operating off fewer gates while American was ramping up quickly. United will lose something. There could be some shuffling with Delta or other little guys too, but again, nobody cares about Terminal 5.

So the question again becomes… how many gates will each airline gain or lose? This is where things get nutty. I asked the City of Chicago exactly how this works with Spirit giving up its gates. Will Spirit’s utilization at each gate contribute to American’s and United’s numbers? Despite some people at airlines saying they thought this would work this way, that is not the case. The Chicago Department of Aviation’s Director of Communications Kevin Bargnes explained that except for a couple of exceptions which don’t apply here:

Primarily, the only thing that matters when gate frontage is reallocated at O’Hare International Airport is how many scheduled departures each airline operates during the calendar year. It doesn’t matter which specific gates those flights use. It also doesn’t matter whether those flights depart from the airline’s own preferential gates, common-use gates, or another airline’s preferential gates

Alright, so we just take total departures and look at percentages for those airlines. I guess Spirit’s goal is to keep having the right to 4 gates so that American and United can keep using them. So let’s look at some numbers.

The way I calculate it, American’s share of departures in calendar year 2025 has now climbed about a point to 39.5 percent while United’s has fallen about a point to near 51.5 percent. Playing with the numbers, this looks like American should gain about 3 gates while United would lose the same amount. At the same time, Spirit does look to be underutilizing its gates the most with Delta and Southwest to a lesser extent.

So does that mean Spirit will lose gates? If so, what does that mean for American and United? I’m sure it’s buried in their contracts with each other, though I did see something in a United memo that caught my eye. United says one of the Spirit gates will go back to the city for reallocation this year. I take that to mean that United paid $15.1 million to effectively prevent itself from having to lose one of the gates it has today that it expected would leave. My head is spinning trying to figure this out.

My assumption here is that with the purchase of Spirit gates on G, United will probably have enough gates there to give most back and not have the rest of the footprint impacted. Meanwhile, American will gain more back on G. The wildcard in this is we don’t know how many common-use gates the city needs next year.

We’ll know for sure once June rolls around, and in this case, I’m so unsure of the situation that I will be eagerly awaiting that June date. The battle for Chicago rolls on.

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Brett Avatar

32 responses to “Chicago O’Hare’s Gate Fight Gets Even More Complex… and Spirited”

  1. Emil D Avatar
    Emil D

    CF,
    1. How do common use gates work? For instance the common use gates have planes sitting in them from yesterday evening’s flights (dog & cat airlines) Spirit has a flight at 8:00 AM and 9:00 AM and needs 2 gates. If the common use gates are being used by other airlines how does this work? Who gets the priority?
    2. Does the new Terminal D come into play?

  2. Eric Morris Avatar
    Eric Morris

    Grok agrees with your prediction, but it did base its prediction partly on your articles.

    1. SEAN Avatar
      SEAN

      But when was the last time Elon Musk flew a commercial airline?

    2. Patrick Avatar
      Patrick

      Nobody cares what grok regurgitates.

      1. Eric Morris Avatar
        Eric Morris

        Considering I tried I cared; I wanted to see if it had any additional insights into the City’s rules about Spirit and it didn’t. It proved that Cranky is better than AI even with complex contracts. And you sound like a nice guy Patrick. I’ll use my abacus next time.

  3. Bill from DC Avatar
    Bill from DC

    Like most others here, including Cranky Brett, I just can’t quit this story! The irony is that the gates being fought for so arduously are some of the oldest, most decrepit, substandard gates in use at any major US airport.

    But as a flying member of Team United, give em hell, Scott; no market too small, no frequency too great!

    How long until one of them does some DCA / LGA style slot squatting and flies the smallest plane possible 14x daily to MKE?

    1. Wany Avatar
      Wany

      MKE is too far away. Some ORD-ORD 10 minutes sightseeing flights should do the trick. This is where revenue based mileage earning really shines as old distance based earning will give frequent flyers a big fat 0 miles.

      1. Bill from DC Avatar
        Bill from DC

        ORD to GYY and RFD!

  4. See_Bee Avatar
    See_Bee

    Feels like the city should do something like a 2-year rolling average to prevent this kind of year-to-year volatility. I guess they don’t really care since the 1-year model has created the current capacity war

  5. 1990 Avatar
    1990

    United as Putin’s Russia in the clip-art… yikes.

  6. Old Benjy Avatar
    Old Benjy

    Terminal 2 is like the old LGA. It was obsolete 20 years ago!. Also, why is Delta allowing gates to be taken away? If they want to be a major player at ORD they need to step up their game.

    1. See_Bee Avatar
      See_Bee

      There’s already too much capacity between UA and AA; DL doesn’t need or want to win the local Chicago customer. DL just needs enough gates to get their customers from elsewhere in the country to ORD

      If DL has 7 gates and if they run decent utilization, they could squeeze maybe 8 turns per gate which is 56 flights. Then you can assume (I’m making these up) 10 to ATL, 3 SEA, 7 LGA, 3 JFK, 5 BOS, 3 to SLC, 8 to MSP, 8 DTW plus 3 to LAX starting at some point, that’s 50 flights per day.

      My point is DL has been shrinking their gate count over the last 2 years but it was too much capacity for them anyways. They are probably at about the right size now

      1. Southside Cheech Avatar
        Southside Cheech

        See Bee, If DL wants to be relevant they need to offer more destinations out of ORD. When I travel for work I do not want to go through hubs if I can help it. Both AA and UA offer many direct flights. DL? A very small amount.

        1. John G Avatar
          John G

          Not gonna happen. Not when there are not one but two other legacies duking it out. You are going to get flights to hubs and that’s it.

        2. See_Bee Avatar
          See_Bee

          But that’s my point, they don’t need or want to be relevant to the local customer. Airlines can’t be #1 in every market – it’s literally impossible, and they know that

          Airlines have limited number of assets (planes), and they need to put them in positions that will generate profits. Adding more capacity in their strength markets protect their position on the S-curve (i.e., outsized share in markets earn outsized revenue). DL adding planes to ORD would continue to throw Chicago supply/demand out of whack as there is too much supply, and DL would still be much smaller than UA or AA

          1. Tim Dunn Avatar
            Tim Dunn

            people continue to conflate the gate spat that is going on with AA and UA and the number of gates that each need to control w/ what is going on in terminal 5.

            There are dozens of common use gates in terminal 5 and DL needs more gates to park planes at night than they need to run their daily schedule.

            DL is still and will be the largest carrier in terminal 5. WN operates less than 10 flights/day at ORD.

            ORD is a spoke for DL in another carrier(s) hub but DL still has as good of or better coverage from ORD to DL’s hubs than AA or UA have from DL hubs.

            the real issue is that the whole gate use formula at ORD forces AA and UA (and any other airline that wants to hold onto gates in the T1-3 complex) to overschedule which erodes profits due to overcapacity.
            While real lives are being lost in Ukraine, the ORD shootout will come to an end when both sides realize that they can co-exist given their network strengths elsewhere even if they are not equally sized at ORD.

        3. southbay flier Avatar
          southbay flier

          Delta has hubs in MSP and DTW in the Midwest and they have minimal competition at those two hubs. They make lots of money flying to those two hubs. They could never make that money if they became a third competitor at ORD and their connecting traffic would be spread too thin.

      2. Bill from DC Avatar
        Bill from DC

        DL also has 7-10 daily flights from MDW to ATL (3-4x), MSP (2-3x) and DTW (2-3x). Guess they don’t do the “shuttle” type service to LGA anymore but that might have been ages ago.

        AA and UA do not fly from MDW.

    2. emac Avatar
      emac

      No. LGA was worse. Give LGA its due.

  7. David C Avatar
    David C

    I’m actually amazed United didn’t respond faster to American’s ramp up to prevent losing even 3 gates.

  8. David Avatar
    David

    Why not just move spirit to Termina 5. I’m confused as unlike 1-3, 5 seems to have lots of empty gates most of the day(especially the high numbered new ones at the end.) could this better allocate gate space?

    1. SandyCreek Avatar
      SandyCreek

      At this rate, it’s unknown whether or not we’ll need to move spirit away from any terminal in a year or two…

    2. CraigTPA Avatar
      CraigTPA

      I’d guess that once you’re in a terminal, you’re grandfathered in, and if nothing else T3 is more convenient for the CTA Blue Line station than T5 is, a plus for budget airline flyers. (That’s not a jab at anyone, I’ve used the Blue Line to get into the city, saves major cash on cab/Uber.)

      So Spirit probably doesn’t want to move to T5 unless they have to.

  9. Becky Avatar
    Becky

    With all of this gate nonsense what would happen if a new entrant (Avelo, Breeze, etc) would want some gates? Just curious

    1. Bill from DC Avatar
      Bill from DC

      They would utilize common use gates

    2. John Avatar
      John

      Avelo is already at O’Hare using common gates in T5.

  10. Mac S Avatar
    Mac S

    I’m curious why SW isn’t trying to spread their wings at ORD?

    1. Bill from DC Avatar
      Bill from DC

      Up to 250 daily flights at Midway probably has a lot to do with it.

      Their position at ORD is primarily defensive with a smidge of ULCC type opportunism. That is, defensive flights to WN strongholds like BNA, AUS, LAS, PHX and DEN as well as vacation / VFR type flights to Florida, Cancun, PR and DR.

    2. tb Avatar
      tb

      In the current environment, no sane carrier should be trying to “spread their wings at ORD.” As Cranky has covered in multiple prior posts, American has been bleeding out there and United is going for the kill shot. Now enter this frequency/capacity march to the death. SWA is in fine shape at MDW with a few random flights to/from ORD. Leave it at that and wait for the dust to settle on ORD.

  11. Mildly but Justifiably Cranky Ukrainian Avatar
    Mildly but Justifiably Cranky Ukrainian

    I’ll be honest I didn’t have “equating a full-scale genocidal war against free and independent people to a business squabble of 2 airlines at O’Hare” on my 2026 airline bingo card.
    In this absolute masterpiece of an analogy, Brett, I guess bombing the cities into oblivion and taking ruined land is an equivalent of taking more gates, right? What’s the equivalent of committing war crimes then? Hunting and killing civilians is probably just like making snarky comments on an earnings call, right? And bombing maternity wards, children cancer centers, animal shelters, apartment buildings is like what then? I’m getting lost in your very funny and edgy analogy, Brett. Help me out. Thanks.

  12. southbay flier Avatar
    southbay flier

    I don’t get why they are using data from before the gate reallocation to determine the succeeding gate allocation. Wouldn’t you want to wait for the first reallocation to be complete before taking new data?

  13. BTN Avatar
    BTN

    Let me make sure I understand how anti-trust works in the US.

    Spirit and JetBlue, which were something like 6th and 7th in the US in size, could not merge. It would have been anti-competitive, says a Federal court.

    But, Spirit can sell public assets, i.e., gates at an airport, to the two incumbents with the most gates already at 51% and 39% (90% of the gates already). Hmmm….head spinning craziness.

    Also, nice map. I see what you did there.

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