Southwest Enters Its Leisure Era


If you haven’t noticed, Southwest has been adding new markets left and right as of late. It’s been a long time since the airline did that, having previously moved up its entire multi-year plan to start during COVID. But now, with one exception, Southwest appears to be entering its leisure era, adding new dots to the map that Rapid Rewards members will want to visit.

Since 2012, Southwest has added an incredible 62 new airports to its route map, 50 of which are still here today. But those can generally be broken down into one of six eras. For all you Swifties out there, you’ll enjoy this.

The AirTran Era: 2012 – 2013

It was 2011 when Southwest bought AirTran to kill a lower-cost competitor. It did that quite well, but it also added a whole bunch of new domestic cities that were smaller than what Southwest was used to serving. It put its own B737s in these markets, and some of them worked. Others did not.

Maps generated by the Great Circle Mapper – copyright © Karl L. Swartz.

Ok, ok, so looking at this list today, the Washington/National (DCA) dot is not like the others. But it’s true that Southwest did not fly to DCA until it bought AirTran. It, of course, acquired more slots later. But for the rest of these, it was about adding service to more mid-size airports that didn’t fit the usual Southwest model.

With the exception of DCA, these are all pretty small markets for Southwest. Memphis is the biggest with about 12 daily flights. So while they were nice dots to add to the map, they weren’t all that significant in the scheme of things.

The International Era: 2014 – 2015 (ok, and a little 2017)

To be fair, this era of flying outside the US was really part two of the AirTran era. It took forever, but Southwest eventually coaxed its systems into being able to handle service outside the Continental US.

Southwest had a lot more success in this era, because these were markets that could easily fill a B737 with happy vacationers.

Maps generated by the Great Circle Mapper – copyright © Karl L. Swartz.

San Juan is about the same size as Memphis, and Cancún is even a little larger. But in general, these aren’t huge markets. Of course, the difference is that these are leisure markets where it’s almost entirely about destination traffic on peak leisure days.

What do I mean?

Full Year 2025 Southwest Departures by Day of Week

Data via Cirium

Not coincidentally, when Southwest started these international flights, it used its new Amadeus system, because it’s old system couldn’t handle it. The ability to better run day-of-week flying was key to making these markets work.

The only one that didn’t make it? That was Mexico City. Southwest may have improved its capabilities, but it never figured out how to take payment in Mexican Pesos (or any foreign currency). Let’s not even get into the schedule times. Unlike the rest, Mexico City was an origin market that just wasn’t going to work.

The Opportunistic Era: 2016

Yes, this is a bit of stretch to call this a single era, but it was in 2016 when two opportunities hit Southwest. It jumped into four new airports as a result.

The first was Cuba. When Cuba flying opened up, Southwest decided to dive right in. Not only did it serve Havana, but it also went into Santa Clara and Varadero. The latter two only made it into 2017. Havana itself is still flying today, but Southwest is only running a single daily flight from Tampa. That adventure hasn’t been a home run.

The second was Long Beach. When the airport’s noise dropped thanks to newer aircraft, more slots were opened up to fit within the noise ordinance. Southwest poked its nose in with Oakland flights and JetBlue… well, it didn’t go well for JetBlue. Over time, Southwest picked up more slots until today when it has nearly everything flying at the airport. With around 40 daily flights to 17 destinations, Long Beach is one of the bigger stations that Southwest has started in recent times. It does far better there than JetBlue ever did, but it’s also not a runaway success.

The Hawaiʻi Era: 2019

Just before the pandemic, Southwest finally got its fleet ETOPS certification and it began flying to Hawaiʻi. Not only did it go to the five biggest markets, but it flew between them too. This was a very big shift for Southwest.

For years, Southwest struggled to make this functional, but recently performance has improved. Q3 2024 was the first time the Hawaiʻi – mainland market produced stage length-adjusted unit revenue over 10 cents.

Maps generated by the Great Circle Mapper – copyright © Karl L. Swartz.

This may have some more maturing to do, but itʻs a key piece of the network for Southwest that isnʻt going anywhere. With more than 70 daily flights on average in 2025 that touched one of the islands on at least one end, this is a big investment. Southwestʻs rationale was that to really be able to win in California, you have to serve one of the most important leisure destinations from the state. This foreshadows what would come in the future.

The COVID Era: 2020 – 2021

Once COVID hit, airlines started losing money like crazy, but Southwest decided it would be crazy in a different way. It seems to have taken years of potential future growth markets and moved them forward into a 2020/2021 blizzard of madness.

Maps generated by the Great Circle Mapper – copyright © Karl L. Swartz.

These didnʻt all fall into one specific market type. You had the beach routes in the Southeast. There were the ski routes in the Mountain West. You had smaller cities on the West Coast. There were moves into primary airports where Southwest served the secondary: Chicago/OʻHare and Houston/IAH. Then there was Jackson. That must have been a political favor.

Some of these were wildly unsuccessful. Those four red dots on the map were cut very quickly once the airline started getting pressure from its investors (ahem, Elliott) to clean up its act. There was no time to wait for them to mature.

Others have struggled. Thereʻs OʻHare which has already seen multiple different strategies tried with different routes. Or thereʻs Palm Springs which already lost Portland (OR) and Phoenix but gained Austin and Chicago/Midway. This has been one big trial-and-error session. Itʻs not easy trying to mature so many markets at once.

The biggest of these markets that remain? Miami and Sarasota along with Colorado Springs and OʻHare.

The Leisure Era: 2025 –

Southwestʻs last new city started in 2021, and then there was a five-year break. But starting this year, Southwest began adding new cities to the map. And so far, it looks like weʻre entering the leisure era for the airline. We have, of course, already seen this before with The International Era and some of the COVID markets, but this seems to be a bit more of a focused effort.

St Thomas and St Maarten in the Caribbean begin next year, as do Anchorage and Santa Rosa in the West. Santa Rosa may have some more local appeal than the others will, but this still pretty clearly looks like a destination strategy. The only outlier? Knoxville. Sure, some of you may be going to see the Wigsphere Sunsphere, but thatʻs probably more similar to the markets of The AirTran Era than anything else.

The difference now? That sweet, sweet loyalty money is too big to ignore. Southwest wants those dots on the map so you can use Rapid Rewards points to drink wine in Napa with your friends, go on an Alaskan cruise, watch airplanes on Maho Beach (no? is that just me?), or do whatever people do in St Thomas.

I imagine there will be more coming to the network before this era comes to a close.

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Brett Avatar

22 responses to “Southwest Enters Its Leisure Era”

  1. Mike Avatar
    Mike

    Brett, interesting but Im pretty confused. Can you label the maps better? I think, but am not sure, that the red dots are destinations that Southwest no longer flies to and yellow are new destinations still in service.

    Im also confused because I flew on a Southwest flight to Jackson, Mississippi from BWI as far back as 2011 (I went and checked with my FR24 log), so was Covid era an expansion or just reconnecting?

    Finally, shouldn’t there be an ATA era for Southwest? Not as pronounced as the other eras but before buying ATA Southwest maps would proudly redirect you away from cities like New York and Boston and buying out ATAs LaGuardia gates in 2009 changed all of that

    Thanks!

    1. Sam Avatar
      Sam

      Related to the map labeling… I’m pretty sure at least half of aviation nerds wanted to be pilots but failed the color blindness test, so plz stop using red on green ;-)

    2. Steve W Avatar
      Steve W

      JAN was previously served but discontinued in 2013? So, it was a re-entry into the market.

  2. loislane Avatar
    loislane

    The future of Southwest is dba as Delta Air Lines.

    1. CraigTPA Avatar
      CraigTPA

      This is not going to happen. Even under the current administration, there’s no way any two of the Big Four could get a merger approved without the acquiree being on the edge of bankruptcy (or, more likely, actually in Chapter 11 already), and all four are financially relatively healthy.

      The divestments required to get this anywhere near approval would make it a non-starter even if someone just wanted the west coast network.

  3. Matt D Avatar
    Matt D

    That it took them over thirty years to enter Fresno…..

    Service that should’ve been started the day after USAir pulled the plug on it. It was a PSA inheritance, which the former basically threw away.

    WN even had a second chance when they bought Morris Air, who was also serving FAT at the time as well. That, also got immediately axed.

    But I guess better late than never. But from what I can tell, they’ve been doing pretty good there with their service to DEN and LAS. And I understand that SAN is coming.

    I’d like to maybe see PHX and LAX added to that list. ONT would be a dream for me. But not holding my breath on that one.

    1. CraigTPA Avatar
      CraigTPA

      Fresno was, IIRC, the largest US market not served by Southwest for at least a decade, maybe more. When I lived there, air service was much more limited than it was today, to the point where investors saw Fresno as an opportunity for new startups, Far West Airllines (that only lasted a few months), Air 21 (cool livery, awful management), and Allegiant, which only succeeded when it moved to LAS and embraced its current business model.

      Part of the WN issue was that there was a long period when Southwest would only open a new station if it could support a certain number of daily flights – IIRC, the magic number was ten, and they didn’t see Fresno as being able to support that, especially as Fresnans continued their “drive-off” habits. I have the FAT departure board up right now, and today they’ll operate ten flights, but two of those are San Diego and one is DAL, which were added later. They opened with only DEN and LAS, IIRC a total of six. Smaller stations like Fresno only really became viable in the WN business model as it changed to focus more on having some cities that emphasized connections (some might even call them “hubs”.)

      This is why WN will likely never run service from FAT to any LA- or SF Bay-area-airport…for the most part, FAT is all about connecting traffic, and they can better use LAX, DEN, etc. for that rather than crowded LAX, and LAS does have some O&D too. Most of California falls into that “it’s cheaper to drive than fly and rent a car” range, so O&D is limited. PHX is a possibility as the market continues to grow, but AA also operates it so another WN city might be a better choice, such as making DAL year-round instead of seasonal.

      SAN is partially a reaction to AS’ success with this route and the WN/AS battle generally and partially about connecting traffic. I’m surprised at how well AS has done with FAT-SAN, although San Diego is a popular leisure destination for Fresnans and while it’s on the edge of that fly-vs-drive decision, the fact that you have to plow though the entirety of LA/Orange County to get from Fresno to San Diego makes flying more attractive. You can do the drive in ~6 hours, but you need to hit LA between midnight and 5am or it’s miserable.

  4. emac Avatar
    emac

    “do whatever people do in St Thomas.”

    Drink & get their pasty skin burnt, no passport needed. Really surprising that WN didn’t already fly there.

  5. Angry Bob Crandall Avatar
    Angry Bob Crandall

    Southwest needs to expand their fleet. Period. Who in their right mind would fly long distances on a 737? Maybe the Kettles won’t mind but seasoned travelers will.

    1. SandyCreek Avatar
      SandyCreek

      To their defense, United is also starting 2 transatlantic routes on non-premium configuration 737 MAXs. It is even less pleasant on southwest (new United airplanes come with IFE screens and I hope enough galley space for at least one hot meal, while at southwest the most entertainment you get is a 60w USB-C port for newer interiors and “even more snacks to choose from”, whatever that means), but I also suspect it would take them too long to figure out first class to sit on the expansion needs until then.

    2. See_Bee Avatar
      See_Bee

      It goes both ways, i.e. smaller gauge aircraft. There are probably some smaller markets WN has their eye on, but their 737 is too much plane (143-175 seats). An A220 with 110-130 seats could unlock smaller markets for WN with a lower CASM than an RJ

  6. SandyCreek Avatar
    SandyCreek

    My suspicion is that they need more time to figure out some of the logistical aspects of Reykjavik and brought Anchorage up the pipeline instead. Cranky, would you envision Southwest’s Reykjavik service to consist primarily of leisure travelers going to Iceland, or passengers looking to connect onto icelandair flights to continental Europe?

    1. Brad Avatar
      Brad

      Yeah, but they just partnered with FI which has service to all the main WN, ahem, hubs. Do they really need to fly to KEF on their own metal? Especially since this partnership just started, I’d give it time to mature.

      1. Steve W Avatar
        Steve W

        Due to scope issues in the SWAPA cba, SWA will eventually have to fly to KEF on their own when the PDEW between N. America and Iceland reaches a certain threshold, which it will with all of those cities you just mentioned they’re partnering with FI..

  7. John g Avatar
    John g

    Knoxville IS a leisure destination, with Gatlinburg and the Smoky Mountains right there.

  8. Brian W Avatar
    Brian W

    @Cranky- Can you talk about why WN hasn’t added Canadian service yet to Vancouver, Toronto, or Montreal yet? These cities have wealth and population basis much bigger than Knoxville or Anchorage. If they service Mexico, the IT should exist to serve Canada.

    1. Brad Avatar
      Brad

      Brian, which direction has the heavier traffic? Ignoring the last year with international relations up north, it seems to me that there are more people crossing the border southbound, especially in winter, than the shorter northbound summer season. To me that hints at the issue with selling in any currency other than the good ole USD.

      1. CraigTPA Avatar
        CraigTPA

        If the recently-emerging trend of people traveling north in the summer to avoid the increasingly miserable summers in much of the US continues to grow, I think we could see WN take more of a look at Canada. But the potential is limited by other US airlines already well-invested in Canada and having Canadian partners who already serve the US.

        The not-insignificant French language requirements Canadian law imposes also create additional costs.

    2. ChuckMO Avatar
      ChuckMO

      My guess is: 1. Canadian aviation taxes are much higher than the US and 2. Canadian point-of-sale is higher than the reverse.

  9. MNG Avatar
    MNG

    Brett, re Maho Beach: No, it’s not just you!

  10. Iowa Airspace Avatar
    Iowa Airspace

    It is interesting that Southwest has kept 7 of those AirTran markets that it inherited (not counting MEM or DCA because it’s less interesting/compelling that they kept those). Speaking of DSM, it currently has five flights per day with four destinations (STL, LAS, PHX, DEN) and in 2026 2x/day to STL will be swapped for MDW (and imho they should have never switched DSM’s 2x/day eastbound to STL, given MDW’s much higher demand…it was supposedly MDW capacity related, iirc). But these smaller markets do provide some feed (WN flies about 750 seats/day out of DSM very consistently, about 15% of total DSM daily seats). The leisure focus is interesting tho, and also worthy of a DSM comparison. Contrast WN’s 750 seats per day to five destinations with Allegiant’s 1,000 seats per day out of DSM (with more variance obviously; some days with 9 Allegiant flights, some days with 2, compared to WN’s very consistent 5 flights per day) to 19 destinations. The point I’m making is do we think WN, with some of these smaller markets, could pivot to an Allegiant lite strategy, perhaps picking off 3-4x/week to certain destinations with leisure opportunity, especially once/if they start receiving the flood of MAX7s in their order book? They’re gonna have to deploy them somewhere, and with their strategic pivot to offering more seats, more premium style services, there’s probably some opportunity to leverage their brand (which imho is recovering slowly) to carve out more of a decent slice of the nonstop leisure/vacation market their cats cradle network can provide.

  11. AG Avatar
    AG

    I believe CLT was also added during the “AirTran Era”

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