Iberia’s Remarkable Transformation Into a Profitable Growth Engine


Flash back about 15 years, and Iberia was a joke. It was busy flying a fleet of gas-guzzling four-engine widebodies along with some Airbus narrowbodies and a lot of turboprops from its Madrid and Barcelona hubs as ultra low cost carriers easily came and took share. The airline’s costs were high, and it was losing money. But now? Iberia is a rock star, and it has big plans over the next several years.

In a recent investor day, Iberia showed just how dramatic the turnaround had been.

This is not a one-off good year. This is a long-standing strategic effort by parent company IAG to make Iberia a functioning member of the group, and not just as a semi-useful secondary instrument behind British Airways.

IAG made several strategic changes which helped position Iberia well, some that might seem counterintuitive. For example, IAG bought Vueling, the low cost operator with a Barcelona base. How does that help Iberia? It allowed the airline to stop focusing on a dual-hub strategy and instead pour all of its efforts into Madrid. Barcelona is a better fit for a low-cost carrier with its large tourism market. Madrid is more well-rounded as a hub with deep business and family ties to Latin America. It’s more suited to a network carrier.

That same year saw the controversial introduction of Iberia Express. This is not a regional airline. Iberia Express is just a lower-cost platform that flies narrowbodies for cheaper than regular Iberia. (Nobody would ever get away with this strategy in the US.) It was part of IAG’s efforts to get cost out of Iberia, and while labor may not have liked it, it has helped the airline grow by contributing to reduced non-fuel unit costs of 5.72 euro cents in 2024, down from 6.01 euro cents in 2012.

Not all cost-cutting efforts were controversial. Just look at how the long-haul fleet has evolved. Going from a fleet of A340s powered by hair dryers to an efficient twin-engine operation has done wonders for the airline’s economics. It has also created much greater capability to serve a variety of different types of markets.

Iberia Long-Haul Departures by Aircraft Type

Data via Cirium, Long-Haul includes Widebody departures > 2,000 miles and A321XLR departures > 3,000 miles

But perhaps the biggest achievement at Iberia has been the ability to turn Madrid into a true powerhouse of a hub. Importantly, it’s one of the few airports in Europe that actually has room and political interest in growth. This makes it incredibly valuable. This hub functions as a key Transatlantic operation, but unlike many others on the continent, Iberia’s best opportunity is over the water to South America. Here’s how the airline has divided its longer haul flying:

Iberia Long-Haul Departures from Madrid by Geography

Data via Cirium, includes Widebody departures > 2,000 miles and A321XLR departures > 3,000 miles

Since the pandemic, Iberia has absolutely turned on the gas on its Latin American network. Just look at that growth. The US has seem some growth as well, primarily in building up service to partner American’s hubs as well as introducing the A321XLR on thinner routes. But South America is the star of the show.

When we look at South America, there are really two markets. There’s Brazil with its ties to Portugal and then there’s everything else with ties to Spain. Brazil is enormous and is only slightly smaller than all the rest put together. That is TAP’s market to fight out with the Brazilian carriers, though Iberia has a respectable and growing presence. But for the rest of the continent, Iberia is not messing around.

Europe – South America (ex-Brazil) Seats by Airline

Data via Cirium

In the last 20 years, this market has more than doubled in size. In general, the European carriers have been losing share as LATAM and Avianca have grown. Air Europa is the exception, and of course, IAG tried to buy Air Europa but it couldn’t be pushed through based on competition grounds. But in the meantime, Iberia has been more than keeping pace. Pre-pandemic, Iberia had about 24 percent of seats, but now that’s at 27 percent and rising.

That may not sound like a lot, but in a rapidly growing market, that is significant. Iberia is now up to 19 destinations in Latin America with Recife joining in December followed by Fortaleza in January. Both of those are operated by the A321XLR. Destination number twenty will be Monterrey in México.

In the US market, Iberia long served Chicago/O’Hare, Miami, and New York/JFK (along with San Juan), but other markets have come in and out. Boston and LA were the first to join the club in 2018 when they both start flying year-round regularly. Dallas/Fort Worth was added in 2022 thanks to the ever-growing partnership with American. San Francisco is summer-seasonal. Now Washington/Dulles is going year-round this winter for the first time thanks to the A321XLR being able to operate during off-peak times.

There’s more coming. This winter, Iberia will fly that airplane to Orlando for the first time. Next summer, it will also add American hub-Philadelphia and will make its first foray into Canada in recent memory with Toronto. If this growth sounds solid, you haven’t seen anything yet. Today Iberia has 45 long-haul airplanes. It will grow that to 70 in a few short years as part of its 2030 plan.

On short-haul, this is also a remarkably different airline than it once was. It has expanded its reach further into cities along the Mediterranean to help build connectivity, but more importantly, it has completely changed into a true hub-and-spoke airline. Just look at this short-haul map zoomed into Spain for July 2025 compared to July 2005.

Maps via Cirium

Iberia was losing a lot of money flying routes it just felt it had to fly. Now it’s focused on Madrid and the places where it can make money as a network airline. You can read more about why Madrid is such a big win for the airline in its recent investor day deck.

With all of this money flowing in, Iberia is going to be hiring, refreshing cabins and lounges, and building a new headquarters. This is an airline that’s going all-in, and it expects an operating margin of 13.5 to 15 percent while it does all this. There’s no reason to think that it can’t make that happen, and that’s something you never would have heard me say even a decade ago.

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Brett Avatar

30 responses to “Iberia’s Remarkable Transformation Into a Profitable Growth Engine”

  1. Jason Avatar
    Jason

    Overall very good analysis – and it’s something I’ve personally followed.
    one thing – iberia has been in Boston since 2007. While they may have decided to go year round in 2018, your writing could be interpreted to mean that Iberia has only been in Boston since 2018, which is not the case. Iberia did start SFO in 2018.

    1. Jim Avatar
      Jim

      Iberia also served BOS back in the Seventies. They notably sadly had a non fatal DC-10 accident while landing in around 1973. The aircraft was written off. 168 on board with just 3 serious injuries.

  2. David Avatar
    David

    When I see numbers like this… my first thought is that unions are going to start demanding large pay rises. How has senior management reacted ?

  3. Wany Avatar
    Wany

    I never thought about A321XLR enabling a route between Spain and Brazil until now. While Iberia is found its niche and isndoing great connecting Latin America to Europe, it is unfortunately that they shrank their Asian operation down to just Tokyo. While I won’t bet on it, I still hope they can expand back to some Asia markets in the future as more long haul aircrafts are delivered.

    1. Anthony Avatar
      Anthony

      MAD is well served from Asia by Asian carriers and via DOH/DXB. Only missing route is HKG to connect OW hubs.

      1. PlanetAvgeek Avatar
        PlanetAvgeek

        Cathay Pacific already flies HKG-MAD.

        I doubt there’s room for another airline unless IB were to expand codesharing with CX for feed at the HKG end.

  4. SEAN Avatar
    SEAN

    One smart thing they could do is hook into AVE, Spain’s high speed rail network for greater reach within the country with through ticketing.

    1. Anon Avatar
      Anon

      I don’t think the AVE trains can reach the railway station at the airport yet. In the future perhaps… but not yet. Furthermore, the trains from the airport go to Chamartin, which itself is (for now) a major building site. In a few years time, this will likely be a much more effective way of linking regional Spain to Madrid’s airport

      1. SEAN Avatar
        SEAN

        Thanks for the info. Always remember trains are your friend regardless if you use them or not.

  5. Nick Avatar
    Nick

    “Powered by hairdryers”

    1. Bill from DC Avatar
      Bill from DC

      Yeah but at least there were 4 of them!

    2. JT8D Avatar
      JT8D

      A340 certificated for bird strikes – from behind…

  6. Bill from DC Avatar
    Bill from DC

    Nice to see IAD now has Iberia and TAP year round to MAD and LIS along with United’s “super seasonal” 767s to those two plus BCN. Time for me to hop on one of those!

    1. CEP Avatar
      CEP

      I’m hopping on those “super seasonals” next April to BCN and from MAD. I’m assuming United won’t swap thhem

  7. Tim Dunn Avatar
    Tim Dunn

    good analysis.

    MAD is well-located for southern Europe traffic as well as to Latin America, as noted.

    The growth in US to southern Europe traffic helps IB.

    there is also a defensive play with IAG given that Air Europa and TAP’s future are not settled and with the shift of ITA to Star.

  8. Chris Avatar
    Chris

    What about Level? Any growth/new North American cities in the future?
    I live in the Baltimore/Washington area and would love to fly Iberia but they do not offer a PE product on their A321’s. Can not do 7+ hours in a three seat row.

    1. DCAFlyer Avatar
      DCAFlyer

      So 787s & A359s are out of the question as well? They are 3x3x3…

      1. Brett Avatar

        DCA – For LEVEL? No news. But they are looking at the A330-900neo for Iberia mainline as a possibility.

        1. emac Avatar
          emac

          On LEVEL — has IAG said how that’s doing? Not mentioned once in the IB deck.

      2. Chris Avatar
        Chris

        I will fly them if they have a real premium economy section as the seating is usually 2x4x2.

    2. Brett Avatar

      Chris – LEVEL seems like more of an afterthought. I know they just got it its own operating certificate, but there really hasn’t been much announced with them at all.

      1. PlanetAvgeek Avatar
        PlanetAvgeek

        It’s worth noting that Level is a very profitable operation.

        I doubt IAG want to cannibalise the IB/MAD operation too much, hence the lack of growth

  9. Jon Avatar
    Jon

    I find it odd PHX is not on the expansion map given the Aa hub and connections to secondary cities in Mexico. Does the 321 nor have the range?

    1. See_Bee Avatar
      See_Bee

      That’s a lot of ASMs for a non-premium market. Also, Mexico can be most efficiently served over AA’s DFW hub; for example, MAD-PHX-GDL is 13% longer than MAD-DFW-GDL

  10. LaxLgbSnaFlier Avatar
    LaxLgbSnaFlier

    Always happy when you cover an Investor Event.

    Kudos to IAG and Iberia for the strong performance.

    Looking for the same from LH and ITA.

    Keep up the great work!

  11. Narita Kuko Express Avatar
    Narita Kuko Express

    is TAP included in “Other” in the Europe-South America analysis. They have lots of flights between Portugal and Brasil

    1. Brett Avatar

      Narita – That chart is South America excluding Brazil, so TAP is in other.

  12. Alex Machina Avatar
    Alex Machina

    Too bad its customer service is abysmal; atrocious even. Check them out on Google.

  13. PK Avatar
    PK

    A lot also has to do with Spain itself, booming thanks to large migration from Spanish Latam; this boost VFR traffic flows.

    “Since 2019 the country’s foreign-born workforce has risen by around 1.2m, mostly from Latin America..”

    (https://www.economist.com/leaders/2024/12/12/what-spain-can-teach-the-rest-of-europe)

    1. PlanetAvgeek Avatar
      PlanetAvgeek

      Spain and Madrid itself is becoming a very wealthy place with a booming business presence.

      The growth potential cannot be understated here.

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