American’s Modest Summer 2027 Plans are Out


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It’s definitely a choice for American to announce its summer 2027 plans two days after United, but it’s probably not one I would have made. United’s blockbuster adds, including 10 new cities, made a big splash. American’s 2027 plans are not going to do that, though that’s not all by choice. Despite the more modest plans, it’s what American is doing with its A321XLRs that still made this post-worthy.

American might have had bigger plans if its orderbook had behaved as expected. It originally thought it would have 13 new airplanes ready to press into service for summer 2027. In reality, it’s going to have only five thanks to delivery delays. That certainly puts a damper on this, and it means we’ll have to wait to see what the airline has up its sleeve for 2028. But we can at least get an idea today of how it is thinking directionally.

American has really tried hard to fluff this announcement by including already-announced service as well as frequency increases and seasonal extensions. That does give it some bulk, but I’m going to ignore all of that. First, however, let me list these out for you with the notable changed in bold:

  • Charlotte – Barcelona 1x daily summer-only on a B777-200ER from May 27 (last flown in 2019)
  • Charlotte – Paris/CDG 1x daily summer-only service starts March 4 instead of late March (already in schedules)
  • Chicago/O’Hare – Tokyo/Narita 1x daily year-round on a B787-9 from March 19 (already in schedules)
  • Miami – Milan/Malpensa 1x daily summer-only service starts March 4 instead of late March (already in schedules)
  • New York/JFK – Amsterdam 1x daily year-round on an A321XLR from March 28
  • New York/JFK – London/Heathrow adds a 4th daily flight year-round on a B787-9P starting March 28 (last flew in summer 2025)
  • New York/JFK – Nice 1x daily summer-only on an A321XLR from May 6
  • Philadelphia – Keflavik 1x daily summer-only on an A321neo from May 27
  • Philadelphia – Porto 1x daily summer-only on an A321XLR from March 28 (intention previously announced)
  • Philadelphia – Vienna 1x daily summer through the holidays on an A321XLR from May 6

On the surface, it looks like a big list, but if we eliminate everything that’s already in the schedule, routes that flew pre-pandemic, and Porto which was previously announced without detail, we’re really talking about 4 significant new routes. And three of those are the ones I want to talk about.

Vienna Stretches Those XLR Legs

AI-adjusted image via Gemini, and if you don’t know what this is from originally, click here

Ladies and gentlemen, we have a new clubhouse leader. At 4,333 miles, American’s Philly to Vienna flight is the longest scheduled A321XLR route in the world. Number two is on IndiGo which puts an XLR on Amsterdam to Mumbai starting in October. Believe it or not, that’s only 4,266 miles. Next is Iberia at 4,162 miles from Madrid to Santo Domingo. For comparison, United didn’t announce a single route over 4,000 miles this week with Dulles – Toulouse being the longest, clocking in at 3,957.

American has had its XLRs flying for a while now, so it has more experience with the airplane. If it can really do this 4,333 mile flight, that’s good news indeed for everyone who ordered this airplane.

Vienna has always been one of those confusing markets that you expect to have more service than it does. No US airline flies there today. The last time one tried was Delta from Atlanta way back in 2008, and that couldn’t have gone well. While Air Canada does fly from Toronto, nearly all service to North America has been handled by United and Air Canada-partner — and part of Lufthansa Group — Austrian.

Vienna just isn’t a big market. Looking at Cirium’s ARC/BSP data for the 12 months ending June 2026, Vienna from the US was smaller than Warsaw but slightly ahead of Geneva. With Austrian serving seven cities in North America, it doesn’t leave much room for others.

Of course, the A321XLR is the right airplane to try this route if you’re going to take a swing. There is some money to be found in that market, but I can’t image there’s all that much to be had outside of the Lufthansa Group/United/Air Canada joint venture. But I like the idea of trying an XLR on it. If it really does work all the way through the holidays — relying on traffic going to the Christmas markets — then it’s a really big win, but that does seem like more of a stretch.

The best use of the XLR is as a trial-and-error effort. Some will work, and some won’t. But this is one that’s worth trying.

Filling in the New York Gaps With the XLR

The other move of note is the start of JFK to both Amsterdam and Nice. This is how American is trying to thread the needle in New York. It is not competitive in any way across the Atlantic from there. How bad is it? Let’s look at this summer.

This July, American had a total of 10 daily flights across the Pond from JFK. Half of those went to partner hubs (3 to Heathrow, 1 to Madrid, and 1 to Barcelona). The others were Paris/CDG and Milan/Malpensa (year-round) along with Athens, Edinburgh, and Rome (summer-only). Edinburgh was the only A321XLR this summer. If we include joint venture partners and all NYC airports, then it rises to just over 30 daily flights to 11 destinations, but that’s a bit misleading because nearly half those flights go to Heathrow.

Delta, meanwhile, has 31 daily flights by itself to 26 destinations. Add in joint venture partners at all NYC airports and they’re up to more than 47 daily. And over at Newark, United runs nearly 42 daily flights to Europe on its own touching 35 destinations. Including partners and all NYC airports, it’s 54 daily flights.

The problem for American is figuring out how to expand its presence in light of this enormous deficiency. From a business perspective, it has Heathrow locked down, it’s the only US carrier flying to Tokyo/Haneda, and it covers São Paulo well. LAX is all set too. But then there’s the business traveler who needs to go to the next tier down. We’re talking cities like Amsterdam and Frankfurt, both competitor hubs that might make a difference to the person who wants to be AA-loyal.

There’s also the need to serve all those rich business travelers when they go on vacation to places like Nice in summer. American wants people to carry the AAdvantage credit card, so it needs to serve places where rich people want to burn their miles.

Trying to do that with a widebody as the number three or four in a market? It’s just going to bleed money badly. Trying to do that with an A321XLR? Well, it might still bleed money but a whole lot less of it. And if that helps bolster credit card revenues, then the math may work.

It certainly didn’t work for JetBlue which exited the JFK to Amsterdam market on its A321s in 2025 after only two years. And in the press release, American describes Amsterdam as a “time-tested vacation destination,” but I hope that’s not the plan for surviving winter on that route. This should be more about the business traveler.

In the end, there isn’t a lot to talk about for next summer at American thanks to those delivery delays. But you can get the sense of where the airline wants to deploy its fleet. I like Vienna, but I’m certainly more skeptical on the New York adds.

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56 responses to “American’s Modest Summer 2027 Plans are Out”

  1. Southside Emil Avatar
    Southside Emil

    What about Berlin? More trade shows and conferences are scheduled for this year and beyond. Surely there’s demand.

    1. SandyCreek Avatar
      SandyCreek

      They are limited by the number of XLRs they have – I suspect AMS and FRA are larger holes to patch from JFK for the purpose of AAdvantage card value, and VIE has more demonstrated success with US air service considering the scale of Austrian’s operation.

    2. Cas Avatar
      Cas

      I am perpetually baffled by Berlin’s lack of pull on the airline side. Biggest city in Germany, capital of the biggest country in Europe, big cultural pull across Europe, yet stuck with a bunch of Ryanair flights, and can barely support some transatlantic flights. To be fair, the people that want to go to Berlin across Europe are ecofriendly and/or shoestring enough to take the train/Ryanair/Flixbus, but surely all those bureaucrats working at federal ministries also need to travel? And there are still plenty of big corps there.

      1. GKK Avatar
        GKK

        Somewhat of a paradox, but a lot has to do with Lufthansa. UA does fine with EWR-BER (and DL seasonal JFK-BER), but IAD-BER was a flop, demonstrating that the Berlin transatlantic market is heavily New York-oriented.

        Star has the German point of sale locked down, and while LH would be the obvious contender for a TATL flight to places like ORD/LAX/SFO/MIA, LHG would much rather push BER traffic over its A++ JV longhaul networks at FRA/MUC. Same thing happened years ago at DUS.

        Maybe PHL-BER is on the radar when AA gets its hands on more XLRs, but I’m not holding my breath. Seems like AA has better opportunities elsewhere, for now.

      2. CraigTPA Avatar
        CraigTPA

        Quite a bit of the federal government remains in Bonn (the Federal Central Tax Office and the Ministry of Defence, for example), or was already located somewhere else (such as the Bundesbank in Frankfurt, which didn’t move because the ECB HQ is also there.) So government travel isn’t as big a driver of air travel as it is in many other countries.

        1. Edwin Avatar
          Edwin

          Why do most of TATL fly into Leipzig from the US?

  2. SandyCreek Avatar
    SandyCreek

    Has XLR-operating airlines figured out what to do with XLRs in the winter? Given that some of these routes are seasonal, the XLR needs to go somewhere, preferably places more profitable than where JetBlue sends their flatbed 321s (like Bozeman MT). Is AA on track to convert some seasonal flights into year round ones with XLRs this winter to experiment with it?

    P.S. as a now occasional AA flier I’m pleased with the snack updates – no shade to the Atlanta Biscoff tunnel but it’s always too sweet for me.

    1. Brett Avatar

      SandyCreek – That’s one of the things AA is hoping for here with Vienna. If it can really run it all the way through the holidays, then that’s only about 2 months it needs to cover in winter, and that can be good maintenance downtime. But I think the answer is most likely Latin, especially for American. If the XLR can do Vienna, it can do Miami – Cordoba (a route AA briefly tried on the 763) or JFK – Recife or Brasilia. Or even LAX – Lima. There are probably a lot of places AA can use those planes in winter.

      1. SandyCreek Avatar
        SandyCreek

        Hi Brett – thanks for the response. Agreed with the Americas opportunities – if I understand correctly, AA weakened significantly in south America over COVID, and if it can reach places as far down as Cordoba on the XLR, it can do great work with LATAM now having become DL’s partner.

        It also helps that the winter wind affect north-south routes to the Americas less than transatlantic flights, and if winter is downtime anyways, the need to leave these newer metal for the day in south American airports is less costly.

        1. Brett Avatar

          Sandy – I don’t know that AA really weakened during COVID to Latin. It had to bulk up once it lost LATAM as a partner. But losing the 757 made some routes more of a challenge. There’s just not a great way to serve some of those high altitude, thin spots. The XLR can help with some of that. If anyone should be able to benefit in Latin, I’d think it’s AA. This will help it to strengthen its already strong position.

          And yeah, winds down in those middle latitudes are just a non-issue. If you aren’t fighting the winter jetstream chugging westbound, life gets a lot easier.

          1. SandyCreek Avatar
            SandyCreek

            I stand corrected about AA’s position :) nevertheless, agreed with XLR going a long way to help AA back to thin nodes like BSB and COR and the enhanced value proposition with less headwind problem than TATL.

      2. southbay flier Avatar
        southbay flier

        How often will they have to make a pit stop in Gander in the late fall on this route?

      3. Htown Harry Avatar
        Htown Harry

        “There are probably a lot of places AA can use those planes in winter.”

        I agree. The winter deployment options for the XLR are interesting in their own right. Just for fun, here are some ideas besides more transcons or new South American destinations…

        Hawaii. ORD-Hawaii is almost exactly the same distance as Philly-Vienna, and DFW is a bit less. Currently AA and UA compete head-to-head from ORD with 787 flights to HNL and OGG, with UA serving KOA. AA has DFW-Hawaii all to itself with 787 flights to HNL, OGG and KOA. Either market might be receptive to AA adding a few XLR flights and and hearing a pitch like “Choose any island. This winter AA is serving four Hawaii destinations non-stop”. American’s strong connections from both of those hubs would also provide leisure travelers in many cities east of the Mississippi a short-hop / long-haul alternative to the current medium haul x 2 needed when making west coast connections.

        Or, at a smaller scale and with less risk of cannibalizing existing traffic, be the first to offer AUS-HNL seasonally. Or do some competitive, peak-season cherry-picking around the once-daily HNL flights offered by UA from IAH and DL at MSP.

        Central America, the Caribbean or the northern parts of S America. Adding XLR flights from the hubs at PHX or LAX to these destinations would be a sort of mirror image to the above, taking advantage of the extra miles an XLR can reach from the edge of AA’s narrow-body network in the eastern Caribbean. Currently, American flies non-stop to almost all of those international destinations only from the Northeast, DFW or MIA. There are bound to be some west coast travelers or snowbirds in AZ would entertain a non-stop alternative to somewhere other than another winter beach vacation in Hawaii, Cabo or PVR.

        Africa. Yes, Delta already has Atlanta-Marrakesh but hear me out. The secret sauce for American would be oneworld partner Royal Air Maroc’s hub in Casablanca, where there are connections to 8 cities in the middle east, to vacation spots in the Canary Islands and Cape Verde. and to many, many cities in western Africa. Flyers to those destinations often fly a lot farther to make connections in northern Europe. Air Maroc is currently flying a 787 on MIA-CMN 3 days a week. American would fill in more days with an XLR so both airlines could cross-market and perhaps grow the route into 7 days-a-week codeshare service.

        ANC-MIAMI is about 4000 miles and not served by a non-stop route. AS flights would provide network feed at the north end. Surely during January and February there are a thousand Alaskans a week who could be enticed into a sitting on South Beach or taking a Caribbean cruise .

        I’m not a pro, so I am sure there are holes in at least some of these ideas. The larger point is that I can see why AA is disappointed in Airbus not completing their deliveries on time. The XLR is able to hit some network spots that haven’t quite been feasible before.

        1. SandyCreek Avatar
          SandyCreek

          w.r.t. Hawaii, I think this can go a long way, not only to incentivize award accumulation and use, but also to ride on the premium leisure trend – if concerned about the XLR being “too premium”, AA can pair a XLR and a 787-8, sharing them on a pair of Hawaii routes. I doubt if AA will do cherry-picking for UA/DL’s hubs, but AUS – HNL is the kind of route XLR makes more economically feasible, and can be supplemented with returning select continental US routes to AUS (e.g., BOS, bay area, RDU), if nothing else to slow DL’s growth there and to establish AA’s utility in AUS beyond “we’ll fly you to DFW”.

          Casablanca is also an overdue dot on the map. I would advocate for CLT in favor of MIA in this case, as MIA-CMN is longer than CLT-CMN, and CLT likely boasts more domestic connection opportunities. If concerned about maintenance at a station otherwise lacking XLR presence, AA can rotate the airframe 3x weekly to CLT and 3-4x weekly to PHL.

          I am less sold on the Caribbean, unless there is significant evidence of overwhelming lie-flat demand – and, in the absence of preexisting service to supply the necessary volume, the XLR – 788 mixing would exacerbate the market thinness problem.

        2. Brett Avatar

          Htown Harry – Lots of fun thoughts in here. I’m still not sure I even like the use of these planes in summer. I feel like I would try and lean more into my strengths, build up Latin first. But that’s not the case. So, with summer to Europe, what to do in winter?

          I’m just not convinced that the economics work on Hawai?i. The problem there is that premium cabin seats are not nearly as expensive as they are to Europe. Coach prices are probably way better in winter, but this is a premium-heavy airplane. I just don’t know that you can generate enough revenue without those massive biz ticket prices.

          Casablanca was going to start pre-pandemic, but then, well, COVID. I do think that would be an interesting one. The problem is that Royal Air Maroc has not built its operation well at all for connectivity. This would still need to rely more on connectivity in the US, and for that, Philly is the right place. Philly is actually very close, less than 3,700 miles. That would be easy to run.

  3. Bill from DCA Avatar
    Bill from DCA

    This post and the previous post about United made me realize how screwed American is over the Atlantic and I’m not sure if they can even do anything about it.

    Thanks to commenter Jeremy in the United post, I learned that NYC (EWR, JFK, LGA) – Jan – June 2026 market share is as follows:

    1. UA: 12.7M (domestic) + 4.5M (intl) = 17.2M (total) i.e., 26.4% share
    2. DL: 13.5M (domestic) + 3.0M (intl) = 16.6M (total) i.e., 25.4% share
    3. AA: 7.2M (domestic) + 1.4M (intl) = 8.6M (total) i.e., 13.1% share
    4. B6: 5.3M (domestic) + 2.8M (intl) = 8.0M (total) i.e., 12.3% share

    First, B6 having twice the amount of international service as AA was shocking so it makes sense that AA wants to address that. Whether a couple “thread the needle” adds on narrow bodies from JFK will move the needle is debatable. Especially since they gutted their JFK “hub” and thus have far fewer connecting opportunities.

    Second, American does not have a good transatlantic base to work from because they voluntarily ceded stronger positions at BOS and JFK (as well as LAX and ORD but that’s a different story) to keep pouring flights into their cash cow mega hubs.

    As a result, Delta and JetBlue have JFK and BOS. Delta has a massive connecting hub in ATL. United has EWR and IAD. American has (gulp) Philly and Charlotte? Yeesh.

    So even if they decided to bulk up transatlantic in a major way, which this certainly is not, there isn’t even an obvious base for them to utilize. DL would eat their lunch at JFK and BOS (plus B6 is at each as well) and Philly is no JFK or even BOS or IAD when it comes to O&D. Plus they can’t even decide between PHL and JFK, ping pinging flights back and forth like EDI with no real rhyme or reason.

    Finally, who decided to equip the American XLRs with ZERO extra legroom economy seats?!?!? United and American each have 20 biz and 12 premium economy seats while United has 34 economy plus seats and American offers (checks notes once again) NONE.

    I know these ships won’t compete on many, if any, routes but it’s certainly another data point in AmericAAn’t’s lack of competitive strategy across the pond. Since American will however be competing with Delta and JetBlue from JFK, that’s just another reason for someone to not choose American since Delta and JetBlue each offer economy plus seating and American will not. Even with their new aircraft, the self inflicted wounds continue.

    1. SEAN Avatar
      SEAN

      To add to what you commented, JFK/ EWR, lax & ORD have so many international carriers that flying on American, Delta or United isn’t necessary.

    2. Exit Row Seat Avatar
      Exit Row Seat

      Realize the B6 connections thru BOS and JFK are limited. These two locations are more origination & destination. Also, B6 relies more on the local BOS & JFK population to fill its Euro footprint. As an example, from MSY to any London airport, I am directed to UA flights for both out bound and return flights. I feel this is one of the reasons B6 has struggled with its Euro service for the lack of connections (except for Florida). I would have a better chance if they had Euro service via FLL; not sure a XLR could handle this.

    3. 1990 Avatar
      1990

      Not to worry, Bill… MIA is still the ‘gateway to Latin America’ (and the Caribbean). And, if the economy tanks, folks aren’t gonna be able to afford Europe (or Asia) anyway, so they might as well take a vacation closer to home, like Jamaica or Mexico (or just stay home!)

    4. MaxPower Avatar
      MaxPower

      Your post ignores an obvious reality.
      AA’s TATL strength isn’t in AA alone. It’s that LHR is the #1 TATL destination in the US and the JV can fly to far more US destinations than any other JV direct to Europe. And having EI in there to fly into random cities like BDL doesn’t hurt either.

      The AA/IAG JV flies to more cities in the US nonstop from Europe than any other JV, by far. Places like CLE, MSY, BNA, AUS (first to start there but obviously not alone anymore), PDX, BDL, IND, PIT…
      These are all major secondary cities that often feed EWR or JFK for UA and DL. The AA JV has nonstops to Europe from those cities and doesn’t need to connect in NYC or ATL or BOS.

      Is AA the king of TATL? of course not, but looking at the US3 in isolation outside of their JVs ignores the larger picture because AA is getting many of their customers in the large secondary markets to Europe by taking them to Europe nonstop, unlike their competitors.

      1. Bill from DCA Avatar
        Bill from DCA

        all good points but they don’t change the fact that AA does not have great selections to provide transatlantic service using their XLRs.

        they’re either playing catch up at JFK and competing directly with DL wide bodies (two strikes against them) or hoping to push enough connectivity through PHL as with the VIE flight.

        seems that they might help in CLT which has not grown transatlantic service much as it doesn’t even connect to all OW hubs. the lower passenger count of the XLR might help other European destinations make sense from CLT. but not anytime soon apparently.

    5. Wany Avatar
      Wany

      Also there is currently no PHL-NYC flights. Making it very difficult for folks in NYC to connect to TATL flights from PHL.

  4. emac Avatar
    emac

    “might make a difference to the person who wants to be AA-loyal”

    Bueller? Bueller? … Anyone? Anyone?

    The contrast between the UA announcement on Tuesday and the AAnouncement on Thursday — whew. Kirby doesn’t even need to propose megamergers or estimate AA’s ORD losses to make them look bAAd.

  5. JonaSTR Avatar
    JonaSTR

    Living in Europe, I also believe that AA has the weakest/fewest connections here. Flying to the US, I can only connect to AA (if I wanted to in the first place) through LHR or MAD. And from medium-to-smaller-sized airports, these places can be hard to reach on BA or IB.
    DL has more choice, as AF/KLM/SAS (VS?) can get me through CDG, AMS, CPH (OSL) (or LHR?), while all 78 LH-group-airlines can get me on UA metal in almost all places UA flies to – I found connections (mostly with Eurowings) onto UA through not only all the hubs but also via some odd places like EDI, BER or MXP.
    So I would assume UA (and to a lesser degree DL) have a much easier time filling the seats in their planes on this side of the pond than AA. That VIE flight sounds interesting, but “only” Americans and eastern Austrians will sit on that plane, no connecting passengers – no? I would also assume that that was the problem for B6 in AMS?

    1. southbay flier Avatar
      southbay flier

      VS really doesn’t have an intra-Europe network at all anymore. BA has the advantage there. But, DL has partners in CDG, AMS, and CPH for onward connections.

      1. Arthur Avatar
        Arthur

        DL owns like half of VS.

  6. Angry Bob Crandall Avatar
    Angry Bob Crandall

    Don’t forget IRROPS and how OneWorld, SkyTeam and Star Alliance really helps the flyer.

    American rates the worst reliability of the three, with a 74.56% on-time rate and 2.36% cancellation rate, plus similar app fragility during disruptions as United.

  7. sunvking82 Avatar
    sunvking82

    I look at this as a glass 1/2 full. AA is starting the Int’l build up at JFK, I bet many more XLR routes in 2028 and more of them year round verses seasonal to key business centers in Europe. Focusing JFK as a NYC to the world and less of a transfer (like DL and UA), it moves down the coast to PHL which with less need to re-check bags and go back through security has fewer delays and more domistic connections a better transfer hub.
    It’s a step in the right direction. AA will never match UA or DL in Europe or Asia but with partners and XLRs and the rebuild of LAX they will hit 90% of the places people need to go and has the Americas (North, South, Central and Caribbean) locked down.

    As for B6 having a larger international footprint, that is mostly to the Caribbean and Canda out of JFK, very limited to Europe verses AA for sure. Also BOS isn’t an AA hub yet still #3 there and not far off from DL when looking at passengers (aka more mainline than DL) verses flights.

    Whatever UScareways managment large hub strategy at JFK, ORD and LAX was , it was plan stupid and will take time to rebuild as XLR and more widebodies come into the fleet. Will they be #2 to Europe or Asia, no, but they will have more options and make more money long term, just have to give it 2 more year and have the guts to stay the course for the dollars to start showing up in their bottom line.

  8. SEASFO Avatar
    SEASFO

    Vienna is cool, but the rest of these adds are table stakes at this point. I guess that’s what happens when you prematurely park a bunch of perfectly good mid-life A330s that were just retrofitted with new interiors in the desert (some of which just got scooped up by Sun PhuQuoc Airways which can probably easily fly them another 10 years if they really want to out of Vietnam).

    AA’s decision to wait until now to resume a route like CLT-BCN is indicative of just how pathetic and uncompetitive their international network has become. Even with their self-induced widebody shortage, not flying a connection from one of the two hubs they have actually invested to a major European destination market during a post-pandemic transatlantic travel boom is certainly a choice.

    1. SandyCreek Avatar
      SandyCreek

      AA’s partnership with BA and IB, and the location of LHR and MAD relative to the rest of Europe, means that the value proposition of connections it can sell with its JV partners is better than, say, UA + LH (and associates), if a connection is required for both cases, all else equal. However, allowing major route pairs like JFK-AMS to require a connection in the first place is exemplary of the decade-long neglect AA has engaged in in NYC, CHI and LAX in favor of hubs that it dominates, plus the strategic blunder with COVID widebody capacity gutting.

  9. 1990 Avatar
    1990

    That really was sneaky of AA’s marketing department attempting to, as Brett said, “fluff this announcement by including already-announced service as well as frequency increases and seasonal extensions.” Like, while I’m happy to hear of more 789-P on JFK-LHR, adding a 4th frequency isn’t a ‘new route.’ I mean, AA has 5 actual XLR deliveries at this point, so I guess we can ‘celebrate’ PHL–VIE, JFK–AMS, and JFK–NCE (watch out, La Compagnie, now you have even more competition on your EWR-NCE seasonal all-business class A321LR service! Is the south of France really that hot of a destination? I mean, DL and UA take their 767s there already, too.)

    1. Jeremy Avatar
      Jeremy

      Peak this analysis on PDEW and fare for JFK-NCE by Cranky last year when AA launched JFK-EDI: https://crankyflier.com/2025/11/10/american-starts-its-xlr-adventure-across-the-pond-with-edinburgh/

      In 2025 DL’s fares on JFK-NCE were exemplary – the market’s capacity is around the PDEW, so AA jumping in with the XLR should do very well, and there is market demand for more capacity (+ the White Lotus next season being filmed there should cause another spike in demand).

      AMS will be trickier, but IMO B6’s issue was its complete lack of penetration in the business market in NYC and BOS post-COVID as it transforms into a solely leisure carrier. AA for all its flaws still has a share of NYC corporate travel (though much less vs DL and UA). Covering an obvious gap like AMS should help – I would expect the flight to do more than fine in the IATA Summer (at least in 2025 B6’s fares then were more than decent). The issue for B6 came in the ROY (IATA Winter) where it got clobbered – the test for AA will be if its stronger corp. position and NYC loyalty vs B6 will allow it to compete better in this market. I do like the idea personally to grow relevance in NYC again. Plus, worst case AA could reroute the XLR to Latin America or a different route that B6 generally can’t (ergo why BOZ, JFK-PHX, LAS-MCO, and SAN get MINT routes when their fares don’t indicate they should).

      If AMS works from JFK, I expect ZRH (expect this one regardless) but even BRU and GVA to be given a strong look from JFK. Given the pharma market at PHL, could argue it could be served from both JFK and PHL.

      1. 1990 Avatar
        1990

        Oh yeah! Almost forgot White Lotus S4 is set in France (can’t wait!)—Thailand got a post-show bump from S3, so I would expect French Riviera prices to go even higher. I saw that the Thai ministry of tourism cited US and European arrivals spiked 12–18% after S3 premiered—even as their broader regional Asian volume actually dipped (mostly safety fears/scam concerns scaring off the Chinese tour groups, or the ME conflict affecting connecting flights.)

        On AMS, it’s a shame that B6 couldn’t make JFK-AMS work (I enjoyed that flight last year in Mint, albeit before the new JFK Blue House lounge opened). At least BOS-AMS remains (for now…) So, SkyTeam still pretty much owns Schiphol (and its connections to NYC, other than the UA flights via EWR).

        On the XLR, I agree that if they’re wise it benefits AA’s fleet flexibility. AA can and probably should rotate XLRs south to MIA/Latin America when TATL demand dips. Meanwhile, with United, I saw those recent A321XLR comments, too! I don’t think they’ll completely drop their XLR order; they still need them to replace the aging 757s. But, Quayle admitting Airbus’s range numbers were too optimistic was telling. I guess UA’s heavy Polaris seats add too much weight, so EWR to Italy is out (sad face). They’ll have to keep the XLRs on shorter Western Europe routes (like DUB/AMS/Marseille?) and leave Italy to the widebodies (which, I guess, is fine. More supply?). You make a great point, though—if the range is that restricted, it calls into question whether they need all 50, or if LRs/neos would’ve been enough for those shorter hops… And if AA makes JFK-AMS work, why not ZRH, or PHL-BRU.

  10. Mr. Eric Avatar
    Mr. Eric

    I know you mentioned you like the Vienna route, but I am skeptical about this one. A creative route? Yes. A good choice? I remain very skeptical especially considering other options.

    The combination of United’s much larger NYC market share, United’s code share with Austrian Airlines, and Austrian Airlines dominant lock on this thin route create enormous headwinds for American.

    Combine those factors with the unknown operational performance of the XLR on this long route, and it spells trouble for American.

    How is American going to compete here? They would have to offer lower fares because UA / Austrian own the market and the route.

    I wonder if PHL would have been the better option due to the higher domestic connectivity options, although this would increase the stage length even further.

    1. Jeremy Avatar
      Jeremy

      I’m confused – AA is adding PHL-VIE, not JFK-VIE

    2. Brett Avatar

      Mr Eric – As Jeremy says, it is PHL, not JFK. I would absolutely hate JFK-Vienna for many of the reasons you say!

      1. Mr. Eric Avatar
        Mr. Eric

        Ooops my bad. Where the heck did I get JFK from? Making more coffee now.

  11. Alex Hill Avatar
    Alex Hill

    I wonder if AMS-BOM is actually shorter as flown than PHL-VIE? PHL-VIE can do the great circle, whereas there are some (ahem) geopolitical hotspots between AMS and BOM. I guess an Indian airline has more freedom to fly over Iran, Russia, and Ukraine than an American airline one, but presumably they’ll have to do some circuitous routing for safety reasons?

    1. Brett Avatar

      Alex Hill – Oh yes. Look at this flight it was over 5,000 miles
      https://www.flightaware.com/live/flight/NBT22/history/20260826/1210Z/EHAM/VABB

      BUT, that is currently outsourced to Norse Atlantic so it’s operated by a European airline. Rules for Indian airlines may be different, or perhaps they are just hoping something changes by then. Right now, Indian airlines are flying south of Israel which definitely adds some real heft to a route. But a recent BOM-ATH flight was only a couple hundred miles beyond the great circle
      https://www.flightaware.com/live/flight/IGO1903/history/20260827/0230Z/VABB/LGAV

      Anyway, that’s a long way of saying you’re most undoubtedly right that in practice, that will have to be a longer flight if it actually flies nonstop.

    2. Oliver Avatar
      Oliver

      The gcmap shows AMS-BOM going straight over Ukraine. I don’t think any civilian airline is flying through that air space at this time. And yes, Iran is “in the way” as well. Oh, and then there is the problem with Indian airlines not being allowed into Pakistan’s airspace if I can trust Google.

      Interesting.

      http://www.gcmap.com/mapui?P=ams-bom

  12. GKK Avatar
    GKK

    Tiny note, but UA flies both EWR-HND and EWR-NRT daily, assuming you would lump EWR into the overall NYC for that market.

    1. Brett Avatar

      GKK – You talking about me saying AA is the only carrier flying to Haneda? I was just talking about JFK, and really it’s all of Tokyo. But yes, United does fly from Newark.

      1. GKK Avatar
        GKK

        Right, I figured as much. In the paragraph above you’re discussing TATL portfolios from each alliance inclusive of EWR+JFK, so that’s why I caveat.

  13. Tim Dunn Avatar
    Tim Dunn

    I don’t think anyone realistically expected AA to compete with UA’s expansion -but a higher percentage of AA’s expansion is likely to last beyond the peak summer season(s).

    AA is using the XLR to get into some important markets where they clearly have been missing or where they can’t compete w/ widebodies while adding some widebody flying where there is clearly strong demand.

    Now that AA, AS and UA have all announced their summer 2027 plans, it seems the next announcement is DL’s – unless WN shocks us w/ adding TATL MAX service and a widebody order.
    A DL exec just said that more west coast and Pacific flying is on the short term horizon – which could say that DL is really not going to add a whole lot more to Europe but focus on Asia/Pacific.
    DL and UA are heading back to TLV while DL starts RUH in a couple months.

    late summer is always one of the more interesting times of the year to watch the airline industry and this year isn’t disappointing.

    1. GKK Avatar
      GKK

      As DL pulls down its 767-300 fleet, it will be interesting to see what, if anything, becomes its exploratory TATL platform. The A332 and 764 are a lot of seats to fill, at least compared to UA’s sub-200 seaters (XLR at 150, 76L at 167). DL might ultimately decide the juice of these small, “sexy” markets isn’t worth the squeeze, and it might not need to pursue these markets nearly to the same degree as United.

  14. CLT Flyer Avatar
    CLT Flyer

    As a CLT captive, I was really hoping for a CLT – AMS A321XLR connection (even though I know that makes no economical sense – it is purely for my own convenience that I was hoping for that). But I like that there is now a JFK option next to the dreaded PHL connection. My hope is that the JFK option will price more friendly, because… competition. We shall see.

    The other one I was hoping for was CLT, JFK or PHL – MAN. It is the second largest airport outside of all the London airports, serves a good deal of connection opportunities into One World and would be a welcome alternative to LHR. Currently, all the US airlines have abandoned MAN, and only VS flies into JFK and ATL to connect into the Skyteam network, and into LAS and MCO for tourism.

    Here is to many more XLR’s – I have flown them on transatlantic metal from TAP and EI (in prem econ) and was impressed both times.

  15. Bill from DCA Avatar
    Bill from DCA

    My original comment did seem to be a bit verbose but I think I also buried the lead (lede for your journalistic types) because I’m shocked nobody has yet to comment on American’s decision to equip the XLRs with ZERO extra legroom economy seats?!?!? United and American each have 20 biz seats and 12 premium economy seats on the XLR while United has 34 economy plus seats and American offers (checks notes once again) NONE.

    Who but the most loyal OW flyer is going to choose a narrow body flight from JFK with ZERO extra legroom economy seats when Delta is flying a widebody to the same destination with tons of extra legroom seats as well as more premium economy and more biz seats to boot.

    This is literally the opposite of what they spouted last week about putting more “premium” seats on all of their planes! Except for their newest ones apparently. Pure insanity!

    1. Michael B Avatar
      Michael B

      Not sure where you are getting your data but AA’s 321 XLR’s have 12 Main Cabin Extra seats – the exit row and the one behind the exit row for a total of 12.

      1. Bill from DCA Avatar
        Bill from DCA

        I wouldn’t consider two exit rows with 12 non reclining seats as main cabin “extra” but even if you did, it’s still quite a stark contrast to 34 economy plus seats, most of which will actually recline, on United’s version.

        1. Common Sense Avatar
          Common Sense

          Additionally, that means families of elites with kids, which would be the target market (elite roadwarrior going on vacation with their family) cannot use their elite benefits and may as well choose any airline.

        2. Michael B Avatar
          Michael B

          They all recline. There is only one exit row on the XLR. That is in the row of 6. The row behind it is another 6 for twelve reclining seats. Clearly AA believes they have enough revenue from the 20 pods, 12 PE, and 12 MCE seats.

  16. southbay flier Avatar
    southbay flier

    I’m not loving using a narrow body plane to go from the US to Europe. There is something that seems both inefficient and less comfortable about using a 156 seat single aisle plane on these routes.

    1. Common Sense Avatar
      Common Sense

      Definitely noisier and less comfortable, less practical and more claustrophobic.

  17. tiramisu Avatar
    tiramisu

    JFK-NCE will do just fine. It’s a summer route, and there’s demand, notably around the Cannes Film Festival, and Cannes Lions, with even AF in the past adding some service specifically around the latter. Otherwise, the competition is DL on a 764 and UA (EWR) on a 763.

    JFK-AMS is likely not going to perform all that well. DL/KL have the market to themselves out of JFK at the moment, and UA has always been a strong #2 US carrier at AMS. AA can’t even make DFW-AMS work year round, and is down gauging PHL-AMS to the XLR in the deep winter.

    Better JFK adds would have been a return to ZRH (the XLR offers a much better product than LX or DL on the tired LX A333 or the uncomfortable and not very premium DL 767-300/400ER).

    Other options would have been Bordeaux or secondary Spain, to round out MAD and BCN and places where the merely rich like to go.

  18. Alan Richtson Avatar
    Alan Richtson

    Since they’ve realized the standard 321 neo has its own set of legs let’s see them use it MIA into secondary Brazil.
    Heck even a max can do it.
    Grow baby grow!

  19. Arthur Avatar
    Arthur

    It’s beyond insane that AA is just now stating NY to AMS from JFK. United has flown nonstop to Amsterdam for over 30 years, first from IAD in 1993, followed by ORD then EWR and IAH with the CO merger and now SFO for 6 months plus during the summers. AA just barely started PHL a few years ago and seasonal DFW. Just weird. And Delta has like 12 + daily nonstops to AMS started originally by NW when KLM owned part of NW in the 80s and 90s. And AA barely there!

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